Match Info

Champions League - Preliminary - Round 3

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	EHF TV
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1


	Vardar		Wisła Płock

	1	X	2
	3.20	8.50	1.60	Watch
	2.87	7.25	1.61
	3.05	9.00	1.53
	3.29	8.2	1.57
	2.85	7.75	1.60
	2.92	9.50	1.68	Watch
	3.05	8.60	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.85)	8.4 ↑ (8.38)	1.6 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vardar
30.7%

Draw
11.1%

Wisła Płock
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

11%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

10.7%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vardar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Wisła Płock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vardar than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Vardar - Wisła Płock Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:30

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vardar won 3.

Vardar is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Wisła Płock is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Wisła Płock for this game.

Our forecast points to a victory for Wisła Płock in today's match, at odds of 1.54.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Vardar has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 169:159 (averaging 28.2:26.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Vardar against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 87:75 goals (averaging 29:25 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Vardar Skopje
North Macedonian Superleague Handball
03.10.26	Vardar - Ohrid	27:18
27.09.26	Tikveš - Vardar	27:35
19.09.26	Vardar - Mladost 1977	44:34
EHF Champions League
16.09.26	Vardar - HBC Nantes	32:33 ✺
North Macedonian Superleague Handball
12.09.26	Kumanovo - Vardar	30:31
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLW
- Wisła Płock Handball
Polish Superliga Handball
03.10.26	Wisła Płock - Śląsk Wrocław	43:25 ✺
28.09.26	Stal Mielec - Wisła Płock	23:35 ✺
20.09.26	Wisła Płock - Legionowo	37:24 ✺
EHF Champions League
17.09.26	Wisła Płock - MT Melsungen	25:24 ✺
Polish Superliga Handball
12.09.26	Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski - Wisła Płock	32:37 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
04.03.18	Vardar - Wisła Płock	31:31
17.09.17	Wisła Płock - Vardar	22:26
26.03.16	Vardar - Wisła Płock	25:24
16.03.16	Wisła Płock - Vardar	30:30
21.03.15	Vardar - Wisła Płock	31:20
14.03.15	Wisła Płock - Vardar	32:26

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