Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Ässät U20		TPS U20

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.1	3.05
	1.86	4.01	3.12
	1.81	4.43	3.24	Watch
	1.82	3.9	3.05
	1.82	4.1	3.29
	1.77	4.2	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.83)	4.12 ↑ (3.96)	3.15 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ässät U20
49.7%

Draw
21.8%

TPS U20
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

22.5%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

22.9%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ässät U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

TPS U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ässät U20 than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS U20 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Ässät U20 - TPS U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät U20 won 3.

In recent outings, Ässät U20 has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

TPS U20 is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

TPS U20 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Ässät U20 has faced a series of away games on the road.

Ässät U20 is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ässät U20 has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 68:59 (averaging 3.4:3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ässät U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 28:19 goals (averaging 3.5:2.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
11	TPS U20	11	3	0	4	4	30:41	13
14	Assat U20	12	1	4	1	6	32:39	12

Last Results with these Odds

Ässät U20 - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 48.71%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ässät U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
20.09.26	SaiPa U20 - Ässät U20	4:3 penalties ✺
19.09.26	KooKoo U20 - Ässät U20	4:1 ✺
12.09.26	Ässät U20 - HPK U20	3:2 penalties ✺
09.09.26	Ilves U20 - Ässät U20	5:6 penalties ✺
05.09.26	RoKi U20 - Ässät U20	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLWWL
- TPS U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
20.09.26	TPS U20 - Kärpät U20	3:4 OT ✺
19.09.26	Ilves U20 - TPS U20	6:5 penalties ✺
11.09.26	TPS U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	1:5 ✺
09.09.26	TPS U20 - Pelicans U20	1:7 ✺
05.09.26	HPK U20 - TPS U20	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
09.01.26	TPS U20 - Ässät U20	5:1
27.11.25	Ässät U20 - TPS U20	0:2
14.11.25	Ässät U20 - TPS U20	4:1
13.09.25	TPS U20 - Ässät U20	0:1
28.02.25	Ässät U20 - TPS U20	4:3 OT
22.11.24	Ässät U20 - TPS U20	3:1
04.10.24	TPS U20 - Ässät U20	3:4 penalties

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