Match Info

VHL

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Tula)


	AKM		Toros Neftekamsk

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.85	2.33
	2.63	4	2.28	Watch
	2.55	3.75	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.42)	3.87 ↑ (3.77)	2.27 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AKM
35.5%

Draw
23.9%

Toros Neftekamsk
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

24.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

26.9%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AKM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Toros Neftekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AKM than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AKM, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toros Neftekamsk than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toros Neftekamsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

AKM - Toros Neftekamsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
91. Pastukh V. (G)	1. Yelin I. (G)
25. Puchkov Y. (C)	85. Budnitsky V. (A)
67. Ivanov G.	9. Orlov G.
94. Mitrofanov A. (A)	87. Faizov A.
90. Komissarov L.	22. Sorokin Y. (A)
29. Kaburov G.	79. Nabiev A.
Line 2
3. Zhurakov D.	4. Chebotaryov V. (C)
80. Strugov Y.	33. Agafonov M.
21. Makarov R.	24. Andreichenko V.
77. Sharifyanov T.	81. Volokitin P.
52. Lapshin I.	17. Sychyov V.
Line 3
71. Zaitsev D. (A)	52. Kolganov A.
98. Novikov N.	3. Shatilo I.
10. Nazarov M.	82. Kuznetsov A.
70. Dyukarev V.	25. Valeyev T.
56. Kalmykov D.	38. Skoropad N.
Line 4
24. Alishlalov M.	80. Galiyev E.
36. Shumilin Y.	36. Gunkin Y.
79. Shulenin G.	10. Kolesnikov S.
86. Ignatov S.	72. Zavizhsky M.
	93. Gimbatov R.
Substitutes
60. Kanarsky I. (G)	30. Zhigalov I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
07:13, 1 - 0, Ignatov S. (G),
19:58, 2 - 0, Kaburov G. (G), Komissarov L. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
18:22, 3 - 0, Mitrofanov A. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AKM won 3.

AKM is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Toros is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

AKM may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Toros has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Toros will win today's game, with odds of 2.33.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, AKM won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 41:29. (average 2.7:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, AKM won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:16. (average 3.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	AKM	12	7	0	3	2	38:29	17
12	Toros Neftekamsk	11	6	0	2	3	27:24	14

Last Results with these Odds

AKM - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.01%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Toros Neftekamsk - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.62%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AKM Tula
VHL
14.02.26	AKM - Izhstal	2:7 ✺
10.02.26	AKM - Kristall Saratov	2:4 ✺
08.02.26	AKM - Dizel Penza	2:1 penalties ✺
30.01.26	Chelny - AKM	2:1 OT ✺
28.01.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - AKM	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLL
- Toros Neftekamsk
VHL
11.02.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Chelny	3:2 ✺
09.02.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:2 penalties ✺
07.02.26	Toros Neftekamsk - CSK VVS Samara	2:4 ✺
05.02.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Bars Kazan	4:3 OT ✺
30.01.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Toros Neftekamsk	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
26.09.25	Toros Neftekamsk - AKM	3:2
17.02.25	Toros Neftekamsk - AKM	1:0 OT
04.10.24	AKM - Toros Neftekamsk	4:2
02.03.24	AKM - Toros Neftekamsk	6:3
28.02.24	Toros Neftekamsk - AKM	0:1
27.02.24	Toros Neftekamsk - AKM	6:2
24.02.24	AKM - Toros Neftekamsk	2:1

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