Match Info

VHL

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Neftekamsk)


	Toros Neftekamsk		Chelny

	1	X	2
	1.77	4.23	3.44
	1.68	4.48	3.97	Watch
	1.62	4.25	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.5)	4.32 ↓ (4.68)	3.75 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toros Neftekamsk
54.3%

Draw
21.2%

Chelny
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

19.6%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

20.3%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toros Neftekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toros Neftekamsk's form might have worsened.

Chelny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chelny's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toros Neftekamsk than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelny than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Toros Neftekamsk - Chelny Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Toros (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.25 - Chelny (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Toros (votes: 1 - 50%). Chelny (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Yelin I. (G)	20. Smirnov A. (G)
85. Budnitsky V. (A)	5. Davydov D.
9. Orlov G.	72. Kolmagorov K. (A)
87. Faizov A.	59. Anufriev I.
22. Sorokin Y. (A)	68. Silayev I. (C)
79. Nabiev A.	29. Manukyan A.
Line 2
4. Chebotaryov V. (C)	44. Vinogradov A.
33. Agafonov M.	50. Motygullin B. (A)
10. Kolesnikov S.	10. Ustimkin M.
81. Volokitin P.	94. Sherstobitov D.
56. Suvorov A.	22. Minnekhanov B.
Line 3
52. Kolganov A.	19. Zakharov N.
89. Shcherbakov N.	12. Marin M.
44. Khvorov N.	97. Smirnov N.
25. Valeyev T.	26. Tarasov A.
17. Sychyov V.	18. Guskov I.
Line 4
24. Andreichenko V.	83. Mukhin K.
3. Shatilo I.	86. Minnekhanov T.
38. Skoropad N.	69. Redkov A.
72. Zavizhsky M.	25. Rakhcheev I.
93. Gimbatov R.
Substitutes
30. Zhigalov I. (G)	60. Sartakov V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
03:13, 1 - 0, Nabiev A. (G), Sorokin Y. (A), Shcherbakov N. (A2)
04:18, 1 - 1, Minnekhanov B. (G), Sherstobitov D. (A), Anufriev I. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
01:23, 2 - 1, Zavizhsky M. (G),
06:49, 3 - 1, Suvorov A. (G), Nabiev A. (A), Sorokin Y. (A2)
16:15, 3 - 2, Guskov I. (G), Minnekhanov B. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toros won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Chelny may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Chelny has had a series of home games.

Toros could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Toros will win today's game, with odds of 1.84.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Toros won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 3.6:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Toros won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:14. (average 4:3.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
13	Toros Neftekamsk	12	6	0	2	4	30:29	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toros Neftekamsk
VHL
09.02.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:2 penalties ✺
07.02.26	Toros Neftekamsk - CSK VVS Samara	2:4 ✺
05.02.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Bars Kazan	4:3 OT ✺
30.01.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Toros Neftekamsk	1:4 ✺
28.01.26	SKA-VMF - Toros Neftekamsk	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWWL
- HC Chelny
VHL
09.02.26	Izhstal - Chelny	1:2 OT ✺
05.02.26	Chelny - Kristall Saratov	1:2 ✺
03.02.26	Chelny - Dizel Penza	2:4 ✺
01.02.26	Chelny - Ryazan	1:3 ✺
30.01.26	Chelny - AKM	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
12.10.25	Chelny - Toros Neftekamsk	2:4
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
13.08.25	Chelny - Toros Neftekamsk	3:2 penalties
VHL
25.01.25	Chelny - Toros Neftekamsk	0:2
30.10.24	Toros Neftekamsk - Chelny	6:4
25.12.23	Chelny - Toros Neftekamsk	3:5
02.09.23	Toros Neftekamsk - Chelny	6:4
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
26.08.21	Toros Neftekamsk - Chelny	4:3

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