Match Info

MHL

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday


	AKM Novomoskovsk		Ladya Togliatti

	1	X	2
	5.56	5	1.41	Watch
	5.75	5	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.66 ↓ (6.68)	5 ↓ (6.1)	1.38 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AKM Novomoskovsk
16.1%

Draw
18.2%

Ladya Togliatti
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14%

15.3%

70.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.8%

15%

71.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AKM Novomoskovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Ladya Togliatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AKM Novomoskovsk than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ladya Togliatti than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ladya Togliatti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

AKM Novomoskovsk - Ladya Togliatti Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.75 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Khabibulin R. (G)	70. Nikonovich M. (G)
11. Gendunov E.	6. Morozov A.
3. Badikov A.	14. Lineitsev D.
10. Kazharin I.	17. Guryev V.
72. Boyarkin G.	13. Bazhukhin A. (A)
43. Kalach M.	37. Fyodorov V. (C)
Line 2
21. Pushkov V.	12. Kalimullin M.
69. Rostkov V.	88. Stashevsky N.
91. Ryzhkov A.	7. Pavlov M.
81. Bogatin M.	90. Lisenkov M.
55. Rulin M.	9. Vorfolomeyev M. (A)
Line 3
31. Kurzhiyamsky M.	95. Kharitonov G.
12. Grinev L.	96. Ivonin S.
80. Olikh A.	97. Yegorov A.
86. Novikov M.	71. Merkesov Y.
63. Krayushkin M.	87. Postovoy A.
Line 4
93. Domrachev Y.	21. Pshenitsyn D.
18. Bogdanov N.	85. Shcherbakov A.
15. Gordyukov A.	24. Abramov Y.
	23. Ambrosov V.
Substitutes
30. Skryabin N. (G)	27. Gorbenko Y. (G)
	80. Gorshkov F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
03:48, 0 - 1, Gorshkov F. (G), Lisenkov M. (A), Lineitsev D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
12:47, 1 - 1, Novikov M. (G), Gendunov E. (A), Boyarkin G. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 2)
1, Kalach M. (Penalty Shot),
1, Lisenkov M. (Penalty Shot),
2, Ryzhkov A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Postovoy A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Rulin M. (Penalty Shot),
3, Pavlov M. (Penalty Shot),
4, Bazhukhin A. (Penalty Shot),
4, Boyarkin G. (Penalty Shot),
5, Pavlov M. (Penalty Shot),
5, Kazharin I. (Penalty Shot),
6, Guryev V. (Penalty Shot),
6, Ryzhkov A. (Penalty Shot),
7, Gorshkov F. (Penalty Shot),
7, Olikh A. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AKM Novomoskovsk won 0.

AKM Novomoskovsk is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ladya is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

AKM Novomoskovsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ladya has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ladya is considered a favorite.

We predict that Ladya will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, AKM Novomoskovsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:29. (average 1.1:4.1).

Including home matches between the teams, AKM Novomoskovsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 1.7:4.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AKM Novomoskovsk
MHL
27.12.25	AKM Novomoskovsk - Ladya Togliatti	2:5 ✺
23.12.25	Red Machine Junior - AKM Novomoskovsk	2:3 ✺
17.12.25	AKM Novomoskovsk - Kuznetskie Medvedi	1:3 ✺
15.12.25	AKM Novomoskovsk - Omskye Yastreby	0:7 ✺
10.12.25	Loko-76 - AKM Novomoskovsk	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL
- Ladya Togliatti
MHL
27.12.25	AKM Novomoskovsk - Ladya Togliatti	2:5 ✺
24.12.25	Ladya Togliatti - Loko-76	2:3 OT ✺
23.12.25	Ladya Togliatti - Loko-76	2:1 ✺
17.12.25	Ladya Togliatti - Krasnoyarskie Rysi	3:2 ✺
15.12.25	Ladya Togliatti - Krasnoyarskie Rysi	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
27.12.25	AKM Novomoskovsk - Ladya Togliatti	2:5
15.10.25	Ladya Togliatti - AKM Novomoskovsk	4:0
14.10.25	Ladya Togliatti - AKM Novomoskovsk	5:1
16.02.25	Ladya Togliatti - AKM Novomoskovsk	3:2
15.02.25	Ladya Togliatti - AKM Novomoskovsk	4:0
29.10.24	AKM Novomoskovsk - Ladya Togliatti	0:4
28.10.24	AKM Novomoskovsk - Ladya Togliatti	3:4 OT

AKM Novomoskovsk - Ladya Togliatti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide