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Current Win Probability
AKM Novomoskovsk 14.2%
Draw 15.5%
Reaktor 70.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
24.7%
20.1%
55.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.6%
20.9%
53.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AKM Novomoskovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AKM Novomoskovsk's form might have worsened.
Reaktor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Reaktor's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AKM Novomoskovsk than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AKM Novomoskovsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reaktor than the current prediction. (-16.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Reaktor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
AKM Novomoskovsk - Reaktor Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Skryabin N. (G)
35. Kolymaev A. (G)
39. Kuzmin D.
56. Gorbunov A.
58. Putyunin A.
9. Birdychkin I.
10. Kazharin I. (C)
99. Muissu J.
81. Bogatin M.
82. Stolyarov K. (A)
80. Olikh A.
92. Gizyatov A. (A)
Line 2
24. Kulikov A. (A)
28. Vasilyev I.
3. Badikov A.
78. Gataullin D.
67. Kubankov D.
12. Reshetnikov K.
86. Novikov M.
54. Sirazetdinov I.
33. Likhachev V.
46. Romanov D.
Line 3
69. Rostkov V.
74. Favrichnikov V.
79. Ponomaryov D.
86. Nizamov D.
55. Rulin M. (A)
75. Kurbatov M. (C)
15. Gordyukov A.
80. Panov A.
43. Kalach M.
16. Krivolapov N.
Line 4
74. Biktimirov A.
62. Sayapov D.
45. Degterov D.
49. Shalda A.
25. Karpachevsky M.
14. Makarov T.
96. Melyokhin A.
45. Chertkov V.
98. Andreyev M.
Substitutes
1. Khabibulin R. (G)
1. Rukhlyadev V. (G)
71. Krasin D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 4)
05:38, 0 - 1, Birdychkin I. (G), Muissu J. (A), Gorbunov A. (A2)
13:47, 0 - 2, Stolyarov K. (G), Reshetnikov K. (A), Krivolapov N. (A2)
14:35, 0 - 3, Andreyev M. (G), Sirazetdinov I. (A),
16:14, 0 - 4, Reshetnikov K. (G), Muissu J. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
00:40, 0 - 5, Stolyarov K. (G), Gizyatov A. (A), Muissu J. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AKM Novomoskovsk won 0.
AKM Novomoskovsk is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Reaktor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
AKM Novomoskovsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Reaktor is considered a favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, AKM Novomoskovsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:36. (average 1.7:6).
Including home matches between the teams, AKM Novomoskovsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 2.5:6).
Last Results with these Odds
Reaktor - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.16%, but this team recently wins 77% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Skryabin N. (G) 
Likhachev V. 
Sayapov D. 
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