Match Info

MHL

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday


	Chaika		Reaktor

	1	X	2
	1.99	3.61	3.24
	1.9	4.3	3.1	Watch
	1.83	4.25	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.72)	4.05 ↓ (4.17)	3.13 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chaika
48.1%

Draw
22.6%

Reaktor
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

21.8%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

22.5%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chaika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Reaktor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaika than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reaktor than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Chaika - Reaktor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
74. Sabitov M. (G)	35. Kolymaev A. (G)
65. Chesnokov I.	56. Gorbunov A.
81. Mullerov I.	9. Birdychkin I.
75. Melnikov Y.	99. Muissu J.
15. Matyuk A.	82. Stolyarov K. (A)
91. Opolinsky M.	92. Gizyatov A. (A)
Line 2
44. Yatsenko A.	74. Favrichnikov V.
28. Gavrilov L. (C)	28. Vasilyev I.
17. Salnikov L.	12. Reshetnikov K.
12. Mishin V.	54. Sirazetdinov I.
16. Bessonov A. (A)	16. Krivolapov N.
Line 3
23. Guryev S.	78. Gataullin D.
76. Belyakov K.	68. Semenyonok D.
8. Kozin V.	75. Kurbatov M. (C)
7. Glazunov M. (A)	80. Panov A.
77. Stafeyev G.	46. Romanov D.
Line 4
72. Salnikov A.	49. Shalda A.
51. Izmailov	86. Nizamov D.
71. Laptev	90. Shishkin D.
5. Gornov S.	45. Chertkov V.
90. Komarov A.	98. Andreyev M.
Substitutes
30. Gritsenko Y. (G)	1. Rukhlyadev V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
04:45, 1 - 0, Gavrilov L. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
03:53, 2 - 0, Melnikov Y. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chaika won 5.

Chaika has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Reaktor is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chaika may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Reaktor has had a series of home games.

In this match, Chaika is considered a favorite.

We predict that Chaika will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chaika won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 78:36. (average 3.9:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Chaika won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 41:19. (average 3.7:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Chaika - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 53%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Reaktor - the odds 3.61 are the expected chance of winning is 25.18%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chaika Nizhny Novgorod
MHL
27.01.26	Chaika - Sputnik Almetyevsk	4:3 ✺
24.01.26	AKM Novomoskovsk - Chaika	5:6 OT ✺
21.01.26	Loko-76 - Chaika	4:2 ✺
15.01.26	Chaika - Tolpar	1:2 OT ✺
13.01.26	Chaika - Tolpar	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLLW
- Reaktor Nizhnekamsk
MHL
27.01.26	Irbis Kazan - Reaktor	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Reaktor - Molot Perm	6:4 ✺
23.01.26	Reaktor - Molot Perm	1:3 ✺
20.01.26	Reaktor - Avto	6:9 ✺
17.01.26	Reaktor - Belye Medvedi	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

MHL
09.03.25	Chaika - Reaktor	2:0
21.01.25	Reaktor - Chaika	1:3
22.10.23	Reaktor - Chaika	2:7
22.09.23	Chaika - Reaktor	2:1
18.12.22	Reaktor - Chaika	2:3 OT
07.09.22	Chaika - Reaktor	5:3
17.01.22	Reaktor - Chaika	2:4

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