The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AKM Novomoskovsk 25.2%
Draw 21.6%
Sputnik Almetyevsk 53.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.3%
19.3%
40.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43%
20.6%
36.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AKM Novomoskovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AKM Novomoskovsk's form might have worsened.
Sputnik Almetyevsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sputnik Almetyevsk's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AKM Novomoskovsk than the current prediction. (+17.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AKM Novomoskovsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sputnik Almetyevsk than the current prediction. (-16.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sputnik Almetyevsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
AKM Novomoskovsk - Sputnik Almetyevsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Skryabin N. (G)
94. Protonin S. (G)
24. Kulikov A. (A)
80. Lesnikov S. (A)
3. Badikov A.
96. Devyatov Y.
10. Kazharin I. (C)
48. Taziyev V.
81. Bogatin M.
14. Gataullin A.
48. Romanov Y.
52. Troyanov I.
Line 2
69. Rostkov V.
23. Idiyatov A.
79. Ponomaryov D.
93. Nafigin I. (A)
67. Kubankov D.
83. Gorodilov R.
15. Gordyukov A.
67. Nurgaliyev M.
47. Alalykin L.
29. Gimadiev A. (C)
Line 3
58. Putyunin A.
76. Safiullin I.
39. Kuzmin D.
54. Levagin Y.
55. Rulin M. (A)
58. Milyayev A.
72. Boyarkin G.
86. Lukinov D.
71. Krasin D.
15. Davletshin I.
Line 4
74. Biktimirov A.
84. Khasanov A.
45. Degterov D.
81. Chistousov V.
25. Karpachevsky M.
57. Safonov V.
43. Kalach M.
34. Ismagilov K.
78. Abdukadyrov S.
Substitutes
1. Khabibulin R. (G)
20. Yemelyanenko M. (G)
33. Likhachev V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
04:52, 0 - 1, Nurgaliyev M. (G), Troyanov I. (A), Gimadiev A. (A2)
10:16, 0 - 2, Taziyev V. (G), Gataullin A. (A),
12:32, 1 - 2, Putyunin A. (G), Alalykin L. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
11:08, 2 - 2, Kazharin I. (G), Bogatin M. (A), Alalykin L. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
13:47, 2 - 3, Gimadiev A. (G), Devyatov Y. (A), Lesnikov S. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AKM Novomoskovsk won 1.
AKM Novomoskovsk has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Sputnik Almetyevsk has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Sputnik Almetyevsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Sputnik Almetyevsk could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, AKM Novomoskovsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:32. (average 2.6:4.6).
Including home matches between the teams, AKM Novomoskovsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 2.7:5).
Last Results with these Odds
Sputnik Almetyevsk - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.34%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
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Skryabin N. (G) 
Degterov D. 
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