Match Info

Alps Hockey League - Losers stage

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Valcome TV
Slovakia	Sport TV2


	Acroni Jesenice		Gherdëina

	1	X	2
	1.79	4.35	3.1	Watch
	1.83	4.4	3.01
	1.83	4.64	3.08	Watch
	1.75	4.33	3.1
	1.83	4.2	3.2
	1.76	4.75	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.81)	4.45 ↓ (4.75)	3.08 (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Acroni Jesenice
50.3%

Draw
20.3%

Gherdëina
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

19.4%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

26.2%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Acroni Jesenice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Gherdëina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acroni Jesenice than the current prediction. (+18.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Acroni Jesenice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gherdëina than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gherdëina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Acroni Jesenice - Gherdëina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Us Z. (G)	53. Endre C. (G)
69. Oblak M.	4. Senoner J.
8. Urukalo Z.	43. Guimond S.
71. Mehle Z.	23. Deluca S.
13. Zalokar G.	44. Schiavone D.
42. Sturm J.	74. Biondi L.
Line 2
21. Hebar T.	29. Buono C.
19. Sojer T.	5. Linder B.
10. Jenko J.	15. Dostalek V.
72. Burgar N.	33. Esposito N.
20. Koblar G.	22. Pitschieler S.
Line 3
15. Slibar O.	14. Vozovik D.
88. Zajc M.	68. Soracreppa S.
22. Svetina E.	19. Moroder S.
55. Bohinc M.	93. Castlunger M.
84. Slivnik L.	89. Kasslatter H.
Line 4
23. Stevic D.
5. Pecnik J.
83. Kumanovic L.
18. Jakupovic A.
77. Baloh D.
Substitutes
30. Ulcar M. (G)	71. Rindone M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
08:51, 0 - 1, Schiavone D. (G), Biondi L. (A),
13:13, 0 - 2, Pitschieler S. (G), Dostalek V. (A), Guimond S. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Acroni Jesenice won 3.

Acroni Jesenice has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gherdëina is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Acroni Jesenice might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Acroni Jesenice won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 69:54. (average 3.5:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Acroni Jesenice won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 39:32. (average 3.5:2.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	D	LO	L		Pts
3	Acroni Jesenice	6	5	0	0	0	1	27:13	15
10	Gherdeina	5	0	1	0	1	3	16:21	3

Last Results with these Odds

Acroni Jesenice - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 50.79%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Gherdëina - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 29.85%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Acroni Jesenice
Alps Hockey League
19.02.26	Ritten-Renon - Acroni Jesenice	6:0 ✺
17.02.26	Acroni Jesenice - Ritten-Renon	2:3 ✺
10.02.26	Acroni Jesenice - Tigers Bregenzerwald	6:0 ✺
31.01.26	Acroni Jesenice - Kitzbühel	5:4 ✺
29.01.26	Cortina - Acroni Jesenice	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWWL
- HC Gherdëina
Alps Hockey League
19.02.26	Gherdëina - Tigers Bregenzerwald	5:2 ✺
17.02.26	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Gherdëina	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Ritten-Renon - Gherdëina	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Gherdëina - Merano Junior	0:1 ✺
29.01.26	Gherdëina - Unterland Cavaliers	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
06.01.26	Acroni Jesenice - Gherdëina	5:6
27.11.25	Gherdëina - Acroni Jesenice	3:2
18.10.25	Acroni Jesenice - Gherdëina	5:1
26.01.25	Gherdëina - Acroni Jesenice	2:3 OT
19.12.24	Acroni Jesenice - Gherdëina	3:2
01.11.24	Gherdëina - Acroni Jesenice	2:6
15.02.24	Gherdëina - Acroni Jesenice	5:1

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