Match Info

NCAA

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Air Force Falcons		Army Black Knights

	1	X	2
	2.15	4.4	2.4
	2.18	4.05	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.1)	4.23 ↓ (4.6)	2.44 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Air Force Falcons
41.7%

Draw
21.4%

Army Black Knights
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

19.6%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

20.7%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Air Force Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Army Black Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Air Force Falcons than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Army Black Knights than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Air Force Falcons - Army Black Knights Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Air Force won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Air Force may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Air Force won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 33:21. (average 4.7:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Air Force won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 3.7:2.3).

Outrights of NCAA Hockey for now

Air Force Falcons: 0.47% Army Black Knights: 0.44%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Air Force Falcons hockey
NCAA Hockey
20.02.26	Air Force Falcons - Army Black Knights	3:4 ✺
14.02.26	Air Force Falcons - Mercyhurst Lakers	5:4 ✺
13.02.26	Air Force Falcons - Mercyhurst Lakers	3:4 penalties ✺
07.02.26	Niagara Purple Eagles - Air Force Falcons	4:2 ✺
06.02.26	Niagara Purple Eagles - Air Force Falcons	1:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLW
- Army Black Knights hockey
NCAA Hockey
20.02.26	Air Force Falcons - Army Black Knights	3:4 ✺
10.02.26	Bentley Falcons - Army Black Knights	4:3 OT ✺
07.02.26	Army Black Knights - RIT Tigers	2:3 OT ✺
06.02.26	Army Black Knights - RIT Tigers	6:2 ✺
30.01.26	Holy Cross Crusaders - Army Black Knights	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA Hockey
20.02.26	Air Force Falcons - Army Black Knights	3:4
20.01.24	Army Black Knights - Air Force Falcons	6:7
19.01.24	Army Black Knights - Air Force Falcons	1:8
11.11.23	Air Force Falcons - Army Black Knights	4:0
10.11.23	Air Force Falcons - Army Black Knights	4:3 OT
28.01.23	Army Black Knights - Air Force Falcons	4:6
27.01.23	Army Black Knights - Air Force Falcons	3:1

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