Match Info

Date: 18 February 2021, Thursday


	Ajoie		Sierre

	1	X	2
	1.41	5.75	4.75
	1.33	5.75	5.75
	1.3	6.4	5.8
	1.31	5.45	5.2
	1.4	5.5	4.75
	1.38	5.7	5.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.83)	5.76 ↑ (4.6)	5.36 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajoie
67.2%

Draw
15.8%

Sierre
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

20.8%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

17.3%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajoie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ajoie's performance.

Sierre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sierre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajoie than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sierre than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sierre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ajoie - Sierre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2

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Preview

No spectators.

Ajoie is Qualified for Swiss League (Play Offs Quartertofinals)

Ajoie is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sierre is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sierre could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ajoie is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ajoie to win the game is with odds 1.35.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Ajoie won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 32-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Ajoie won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Ajoie
Swiss League Hockey
16.02.21	Ajoie - Langenthal	3:4 ✺
14.02.21	Ajoie - La Chaux-de-Fonds	4:1 ✺
12.02.21	Ajoie - Academy Zug	3:1 ✺
10.02.21	Langenthal - Ajoie	0:4 ✺
08.02.21	La Chaux-de-Fonds - Ajoie	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWWW
- HC Sierre
Swiss League Hockey
16.02.21	Thurgau - Sierre	3:2 ✺
14.02.21	Sierre - Visp	8:5 ✺
10.02.21	Bellinzona Snakes - Sierre	2:5 ✺
06.02.21	Sierre - Academy Zug	2:3 OT ✺
03.02.21	EHC Kloten - Sierre	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss League Hockey
13.01.21	Ajoie - Sierre	3:5
02.12.20	Sierre - Ajoie	3:7
13.10.20	Sierre - Ajoie	3:4 penalties
28.01.20	Ajoie - Sierre	5:2
29.12.19	Sierre - Ajoie	0:4
19.11.19	Sierre - Ajoie	1:3
09.10.19	Ajoie - Sierre	6:2

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