Match Info

Kazakhstan Cup

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Baluan Sholak Sports Palace (Almaty)


	Almaty		Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk

	1	X	2
	5.50	5.25	1.36
	5.2	4.95	1.41
	6.15	6.13	1.31
	8.5	5.9	1.25
	5.77	5	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.22 ↑ (3.68)	5.45 ↑ (4.65)	1.34 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almaty
14.7%

Draw
16.9%

Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk
68.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

19.3%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almaty has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Almaty's form might have worsened.

Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk's recent form is better than expected.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 6)
01:05, 0 - 1, Zhirnov P. (G), Borovikov S. (A), Prokhorov A. (A2)
04:30, 0 - 2, Guseinov D. (G), Gatiyatov A. (A), Butenko D. (A2)
05:49, 0 - 3, Borovikov S. (G), Zhirnov P. (A), Rakhmanov M. (A2)
09:50, 0 - 4, Rakhmanov M. (G), Borovikov S. (A), Grents D. (A2)
15:09, 0 - 5, Gatiyatov A. (G), Guseinov D. (A), Daniyar Say. (A2)
17:44, 0 - 6, Grents D. (G), Khoroshev F. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 5)
03:15, 0 - 7, Khoroshev F. (G), Grents D. (A), Kolobov N. (A2)
04:38, 0 - 8, Gavrilenko I. (G), Zhirnov P. (A), Prokhorov A. (A2)
08:03, 0 - 9, Grents D. (G), Alexandrov S. (A), Kolobov N. (A2)
11:24, 0 - 10, Zhirnov P. (G),
12:49, 0 - 11, Zhirnov P. (G), Grents D. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almaty won 0.

Torpedo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Torpedo is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Almaty won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 18 matches, and goals 30:94. (average 1.5:4.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Almaty won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:38. (average 1.3:4.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Almaty
Kazakh Ice Hockey Cup
15.08.26	Aktobe - Almaty	3:2 ✺
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
11.03.26	Nomad - Almaty	9:2 ✺
08.03.26	Almaty - Nomad	1:2 ✺
05.03.26	Nomad - Almaty	2:4 ✺
02.03.26	Almaty - Nomad	1:0 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28 LLLWW
- Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk
Kazakh Ice Hockey Cup
14.08.26	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Arlan Kokshetau	3:2 ✺
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
12.04.26	Kulager Petropavlovsk - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	1:3 ✺
09.04.26	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Kulager Petropavlovsk	6:1 ✺
07.04.26	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Kulager Petropavlovsk	7:2 ✺
27.03.26	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Saryarka	1:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
07.02.26	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Almaty	6:0
06.02.26	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Almaty	4:2
02.11.25	Almaty - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	1:3
01.11.25	Almaty - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	2:3
02.10.25	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Almaty	3:2
01.10.25	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Almaty	9:1
Kazakh Ice Hockey Cup
25.08.25	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Almaty	6:1

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