Match Info

MHL

Date: 24 November 2025, Monday


	Almaz		Krylya Sovetov

	1	X	2
	1.78	4.06	3.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.14)	4.06 ↓ (4.6)	3.91 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almaz
52.8%

Draw
23.2%

Krylya Sovetov
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

20.3%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

21.1%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Almaz's performance.

Krylya Sovetov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Krylya Sovetov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almaz than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Almaz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Krylya Sovetov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Almaz - Krylya Sovetov Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Almaz (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
46. Dovgy I. (G)	80. Khodin Y. (G)
98. Gulenok T.	13. Kashayev E. (A)
43. Kichigin N.	27. Tereshchenko N. (C)
81. Kazulayev D. (A)	71. Lukhanin S.
80. Volzhenkov L.	44. Gusniyev A.
3. Ulyanov V.	45. Mukhtarov D. (A)
Line 2
36. Konovalov M.	10. Bakuradze G.
71. Korzin A. (C)	78. Buslayev A.
92. Prishchepa I.	25. Kolesnikov K.
44. Bayushev G.	17. Aubakirov R.
24. Denezhkin V. (A)	95. Morozov N.
Line 3
4. Smirnov I.	69. Gagiyev K.
45. Sobolev S.	7. Vagin R.
91. Perminov T.	24. Sokolov D.
28. Biryukov V.	92. Yeryomenko A.
72. Lykov A.	77. Bashlykov Y.
Line 4
79. Zakharov I.	19. Ilyushin D.
14. Istomin L.	49. Lyapustin K.
78. Semenov N.	23. Dmitruk K.
15. Kosenko S.	15. Shamolin M.
11. Kalinin T.	97. Kuzin A.
Substitutes
50. Bogatyrev B. (G)	74. Stepin N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
02:36, 1 - 0, Prishchepa I. (G), Smirnov I. (A), Kalinin T. (A2)
3rd Period (4 - 1)
01:40, 2 - 0, Denezhkin V. (G), Ulyanov V. (A), Kichigin N. (A2)
09:04, 3 - 0, Prishchepa I. (G), Denezhkin V. (A), Bayushev G. (A2)
15:33, 4 - 0, Ulyanov V. (G), Konovalov M. (A),
17:55, 4 - 1, Dmitruk K. (G), Kuzin A. (A), Tereshchenko N. (A2)
18:41, 5 - 1, Volzhenkov L. (G), Ulyanov V. (A), Kazulayev D. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almaz won 2.

Recent form of Almaz has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Krylya Sovetov has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Almaz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Almaz has had a series of away games.

Recently, Krylya Sovetov has had a series of home games.

Almaz is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Almaz won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 70:48. (average 3.5:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Almaz won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 41:26. (average 3.7:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almaz Cherepovets
MHL
22.11.25	Almaz - Spartak MAX	5:1 ✺
16.11.25	MHC Spartak - Almaz	4:3 OT ✺
15.11.25	MHC Spartak - Almaz	4:1 ✺
12.11.25	Krasnaya Armiya - Almaz	7:4 ✺
11.11.25	Krasnaya Armiya - Almaz	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLLL
- Krylya Sovetov Moscow
MHL
22.11.25	Loko - Krylya Sovetov	8:0 ✺
18.11.25	Krylya Sovetov - SKA-Akademiya	1:2 penalties ✺
17.11.25	Krylya Sovetov - SKA-Akademiya	5:3 ✺
12.11.25	Krylya Sovetov - Atlant	5:1 ✺
07.11.25	Krylya Sovetov - Krasnaya Armiya	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

MHL
15.12.24	Krylya Sovetov - Almaz	3:2
07.11.24	Almaz - Krylya Sovetov	4:5
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
21.08.24	Krylya Sovetov - Almaz	3:1
MHL
30.01.24	Krylya Sovetov - Almaz	2:4
17.09.23	Almaz - Krylya Sovetov	2:0
29.12.22	Almaz - Krylya Sovetov	3:4 OT
28.12.22	Almaz - Krylya Sovetov	3:1

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