Match Info

MHL

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday


	Almaz		SKA-1946

	1	X	2
	5.16	5	1.44
	6	4.78	1.46	Watch
	5.5	4.5	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.55 ↑ (4.81)	4.76 ↓ (5.5)	1.44 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almaz
16.6%

Draw
19.3%

SKA-1946
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

17%

63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

17.2%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

SKA-1946 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almaz than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA-1946 than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Almaz - SKA 1946 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
94. Melchakov A. (G)	80. Rogatko A. (G)
98. Gulenok T.	7. Sozinov M.
43. Kichigin N.	16. Kornilov I. (C)
81. Kazulayev D. (A)	18. Slivchenko M.
11. Kalinin T.	22. Shamkiy N.
3. Ulyanov V.	13. Kuzmin I.
Line 2
36. Konovalov M.	8. Stefanishin I.
71. Korzin A. (C)	19. Gusev M.
33. Mukhanov T.	79. Grakhov Y.
28. Biryukov V.	98. Suzdorf G.
24. Denezhkin V. (A)	36. Tsaregorodtsev M.
Line 3
4. Smirnov I.	99. Rogachyov T.
64. Korsakov A.	52. Vilchinsky A. (A)
54. Maslov M.	88. Kapchuk S.
91. Perminov T.	70. Graf Y. (A)
92. Prishchepa I.	93. Filippov A.
Line 4
14. Istomin L.	25. Maltsev A.
90. Ivanov I.	67. Bilinchuk A.
37. Savin V.	86. Anatsky D.
76. Golovanov M.	9. Marchenko T.
55. Smirnov A.
Substitutes
50. Bogatyrev B. (G)	29. Karbainov M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
12:12, 0 - 1, Tsaregorodtsev M. (G), Vilchinsky A. (A), Rogachyov T. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 3)
09:18, 0 - 2, Graf Y. (G), Filippov A. (A), Kapchuk S. (A2)
15:39, 0 - 3, Grakhov Y. (G), Vilchinsky A. (A), Suzdorf G. (A2)
17:05, 0 - 4, Slivchenko M. (G), Sozinov M. (A), Kornilov I. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 3)
07:10, 0 - 5, Shamkiy N. (G), Kuzmin I. (A), Vilchinsky A. (A2)
12:03, 0 - 6, Marchenko T. (G), Anatsky D. (A), Bilinchuk A. (A2)
13:22, 0 - 7, Gusev M. (G), Filippov A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almaz won 3.

In recent matches, Almaz has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

SKA-1946 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, SKA-1946 has had a series of away games.

In this match, SKA-1946 is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Almaz won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 45:78. (average 2.3:3.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Almaz won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:38. (average 2.6:4.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Almaz - the odds 4.81 are the expected chance of winning is 19.43%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

SKA-1946 - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 63.58%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almaz Cherepovets
MHL
16.12.25	Almaz - SKA-1946	3:4 ✺
13.12.25	Almaz - Dinamo St. Petersburg	5:2 ✺
12.12.25	Almaz - Dinamo St. Petersburg	2:5 ✺
08.12.25	Avto - Almaz	4:3 ✺
06.12.25	Stalnye Lisy - Almaz	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LWLLW
- SKA-1946
MHL
16.12.25	Almaz - SKA-1946	3:4 ✺
13.12.25	Loko - SKA-1946	2:3 OT ✺
12.12.25	Loko - SKA-1946	4:1 ✺
08.12.25	Chaika - SKA-1946	1:4 ✺
05.12.25	Omskye Yastreby - SKA-1946	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
16.12.25	Almaz - SKA-1946	3:4
15.10.25	SKA-1946 - Almaz	0:3
14.10.25	SKA-1946 - Almaz	1:3
25.12.24	Almaz - SKA-1946	4:2
23.12.24	Almaz - SKA-1946	0:5
06.09.24	SKA-1946 - Almaz	7:1
05.09.24	SKA-1946 - Almaz	5:2

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