Match Info

MHL

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday


	Loko		SKA-1946

	1	X	2
	2.06	3.62	3.06
	2.08	4.35	2.84	Watch
	1.95	4.25	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.2)	4.07 ↓ (4.5)	2.88 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Loko
45.4%

Draw
22.6%

SKA-1946
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

20.6%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

20.9%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

SKA-1946 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SKA-1946 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loko than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-1946 than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Loko - SKA 1946 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
94. Nikulshin N. (G)	80. Rogatko A. (G)
39. Zilev L. (C)	25. Maltsev A.
22. Andriyanov Y.	52. Vilchinsky A. (A)
95. Meshkov S.	79. Grakhov Y.
27. Kuzin A.	98. Suzdorf G.
14. Pustovoy A.	36. Tsaregorodtsev M.
Line 2
71. Shokhrin R.	16. Kornilov I. (C)
52. Chaly G.	7. Sozinov M.
21. Dudorov V. (A)	88. Kapchuk S.
7. Yemelyanov K. (A)	70. Graf Y. (A)
80. Yelezov A.	9. Marchenko T.
Line 3
2. Silayev Y.	8. Stefanishin I.
48. Starkov V.	19. Gusev M.
17. Kotkov M.	18. Slivchenko M.
79. Elblaus A.	67. Bilinchuk A.
35. Shlyukov A.	13. Kuzmin I.
Line 4
88. Semenenko D.	99. Rogachyov T.
55. Akhmetshin M.	22. Shamkiy N.
28. Filevsky L.	86. Anatsky D.
12. Puzeyev S.	17. Kovtun A.
Substitutes
16. Maslenitsyn M.	29. Karbainov M. (G)
30. Safonov S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
02:25, 0 - 1, Marchenko T. (G), Suzdorf G. (A), Vilchinsky A. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
05:40, 1 - 1, Akhmetshin M. (G), Meshkov S. (A), Kuzin A. (A2)
13:57, 1 - 2, Tsaregorodtsev M. (G), Grakhov Y. (A),
14:14, 2 - 2, Filevsky L. (G), Puzeyev S. (A), Akhmetshin M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 1)
01:36, 2 - 3, Suzdorf G. (G), Tsaregorodtsev M. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loko won 2.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

SKA-1946 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, SKA-1946 has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Loko won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 47:72. (average 2.4:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Loko won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:28. (average 2.1:3.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Loko - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.21%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

SKA-1946 - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 37.15%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Loko Yaroslavl
MHL
12.12.25	Loko - SKA-1946	4:1 ✺
06.12.25	Chaika - Loko	4:5 OT ✺
29.11.25	Omskye Yastreby - Loko	4:3 OT ✺
24.11.25	Loko - Spartak MAX	5:3 ✺
22.11.25	Loko - Krylya Sovetov	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWW
- SKA-1946
MHL
12.12.25	Loko - SKA-1946	4:1 ✺
08.12.25	Chaika - SKA-1946	1:4 ✺
05.12.25	Omskye Yastreby - SKA-1946	2:5 ✺
29.11.25	SKA-1946 - SKA-Akademiya	8:0 ✺
24.11.25	Red Machine Junior - SKA-1946	0:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
12.12.25	Loko - SKA-1946	4:1
12.10.25	SKA-1946 - Loko	4:1
10.10.25	SKA-1946 - Loko	2:4
18.04.25	Loko - SKA-1946	1:2
15.04.25	SKA-1946 - Loko	5:4 OT
14.04.25	SKA-1946 - Loko	2:0
28.12.24	Loko - SKA-1946	0:7

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