The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Almtuna IS 33%
Draw 22.6%
BIK Karlskoga 44.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.1%
20.8%
53.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.9%
20.2%
51.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almtuna IS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Almtuna IS's performance.
BIK Karlskoga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and BIK Karlskoga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almtuna IS than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Almtuna IS that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for BIK Karlskoga than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that BIK Karlskoga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Almtuna IS - BIK Karlskoga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Havelid H. (G)
60. Goos M. (G)
71. Ragnarsson J.
8. Olvestad L.
33. Asplund O.
9. Teravainen E.
10. Forslund C.
10. Treloar T.
34. Sterner K.
71. Pastujov N.
91. Vesterlund L.
19. Hermansson J.
Line 2
3. Hammarlund E.
22. Lang V.
4. Aronsson V. (A)
90. Olsen R.
8. Osmanis B.
41. Emanuelsson J.
40. Ohlsson A.
15. Franzen G. (A)
96. Jarbsjo M.
21. Holmertz O.
Line 3
54. Wernquist N.
20. Westlund W.
9. Degnell E.
4. Leandersson A.
16. Sundqvist L.
14. Bjorklund H. (A)
29. Smith L.
12. Thorell G. (C)
92. Salonen S. (A)
48. Golder C.
Line 4
36. Lereback L.
38. Jaras K.
22. Johansson V.
27. Sjokvist T.
17. Pentler O.
40. Jellvert K.
13. Schlyter F. (C)
49. Sattermann D.
Substitutes
1. Forslund T. (G)
78. Bratner W.
75. Karling N.
1. Lindbom O. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
06:32, 1 - 0, Ragnarsson J. (G), Sundqvist L. (A), Salonen S. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
00:39, 1 - 1, Pastujov N. (G), Hermansson J. (A), Teravainen E. (A2)
16:38, 1 - 2, Franzen G. (G), Thorell G. (A), Golder C. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
01:58, 2 - 2, Sterner K. (G), Asplund O. (A), Osmanis B. (A2)
06:30, 2 - 3, Golder C. (G), Olsen R. (A), Bjorklund H. (A2)
18:45, 2 - 4, Olsen R. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almtuna won 1.
Almtuna is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Karlskoga have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Karlskoga may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Karlskoga is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Our forecast points to a victory for Almtuna in today's match, at odds of 3.5.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Almtuna has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 16 losses, with a goal aggregate of 39:68 (averaging 2:3.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Almtuna against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 18:27 goals (averaging 1.8:2.7 per game).
Outrights of Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan for now
BIK Karlskoga: 7.45% Almtuna: 0.89%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
6
Almtuna
9
4
1
1
3
28:24
15
10
BIK Karlskoga
9
3
0
2
4
23:31
11
Last Results with these Odds
BIK Karlskoga - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 53.13%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.