Match Info

National League - Play Out - Final

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Gottardo Arena (Ambri)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Switzerland	MySports, MySports


	Ambrì-Piotta		Ajoie

	1	X	2
	1.5	5.25	4.75	Watch
	1.59	4.65	4.45
	1.54	4.82	4.67
	1.52	5.02	4.84	Watch
	1.44	4.6	4.5
	1.53	5.01	5.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.49)	4.89 ↓ (4.97)	4.72 ↓ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ambrì-Piotta
61.2%

Draw
19%

Ajoie
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

18.8%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

19.5%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ambrì-Piotta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Ajoie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ambrì-Piotta than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajoie than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Ambrì Piotta - Ajoie Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ambrì-Piotta will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Ajoie will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
30. Wuthrich P. (G)	40. Ciaccio D. (G)
59. Wuthrich D.	3. Honka A.
58. Zgraggen J.	26. Fey K. (C)
77. Joly M.	32. Turkulainen J.
13. Landry M.	41. Bellemare P-E.
10. Formenton A.	74. Nattinen J.
Line 2
72. Heed T.	37. Nussbaumer A.
21. Bachmann L.	2. Pilet V.
16. Zwerger D.	19. Wick J.
44. Heim A.	8. Devos P.
88. De Luca T.	71. Mottet K.
Line 3
86. Pezzullo R.	91. Berthoud Y.
27. Dotti Z.	11. Reunanen T.
87. Burgler D.	78. Sopa K.
11. Tierney C.	70. Romanenghi M.
28. Borradori N.	87. Pedretti M.
Line 4
7. Dotti I.	17. Thiry T.
12. Grassi D. (C)	13. Robin L.
22. Kostner D.	73. Cavalleri C.
17. Muller M.	20. Cormier C.
Substitutes
37. Landry L.	30. Keller A. (G)
90. Senn G. (G)	27. Schmutz R.
Coaches
. Tapola J.	. Ireland G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
06:19, Formenton A. (2 min),
06:19, Pedretti M. (2 min),
06:19, Pedretti M. (2 min),
07:10, 1 - 0, De Luca T. (G), Heed T. (A), Zwerger D. (A2)
11:24, 2 - 0, Joly M. (G), Formenton A. (A),
12:31, 2 - 1, Berthoud Y. (G), Cavalleri C. (A),
18:18, Pezzullo R. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
10:12, Romanenghi M. (2 min),
16:01, Formenton A. (2 min),
19:13, Romanenghi M. (2 min),
20:00, Formenton A. (2 min),
20:00, Romanenghi M. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
05:52, 2 - 2, Nattinen J. (G), Turkulainen J. (A), Bellemare P-E. (A2)
15:57, 3 - 2, Formenton A. (G), Joly M. (A), Wuthrich D. (A2)

Preview

Ambri-Piotta leads series 2-0. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ambrì-Piotta won 4.

Ambrì-Piotta is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ajoie is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ambrì-Piotta is a strong favorite.

We predict that Ambrì-Piotta will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ambrì-Piotta won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 78:58. (average 3.9:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ambrì-Piotta won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 37:29. (average 3.7:2.9).

Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now

Ajoie: 0.94% Ambri-Piotta: 0.89%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Ajoie	11	2	4	2	3	35:38	16
6	Ambri-Piotta	10	4	1	1	4	26:32	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Ambri-Piotta
Swiss National League Hockey
24.03.26	Ajoie - Ambrì-Piotta	3:6 ✺
21.03.26	Ambrì-Piotta - Ajoie	5:3 ✺
09.03.26	Rapperswil-Jona Lakers - Ambrì-Piotta	6:2 ✺
07.03.26	Ambrì-Piotta - Bern	4:1 ✺
05.03.26	Ajoie - Ambrì-Piotta	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLWW
- HC Ajoie
Swiss National League Hockey
24.03.26	Ajoie - Ambrì-Piotta	3:6 ✺
21.03.26	Ambrì-Piotta - Ajoie	5:3 ✺
09.03.26	Lausanne HC - Ajoie	2:3 penalties ✺
07.03.26	Ajoie - Genève-Servette	2:6 ✺
05.03.26	Ajoie - Ambrì-Piotta	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss National League Hockey
24.03.26	Ajoie - Ambrì-Piotta	3:6
21.03.26	Ambrì-Piotta - Ajoie	5:3
05.03.26	Ajoie - Ambrì-Piotta	2:3 penalties
23.12.25	Ambrì-Piotta - Ajoie	2:5
31.10.25	Ajoie - Ambrì-Piotta	4:5
10.10.25	Ambrì-Piotta - Ajoie	3:2
15.02.25	Ambrì-Piotta - Ajoie	5:4 penalties

Ambrì-Piotta - Ajoie: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide