The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Amurskie Tigry 23.9%
Draw 21.2%
Almaz 54.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.7%
20.6%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.9%
21.2%
38.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amurskie Tigry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amurskie Tigry's form might have worsened.
Almaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Almaz's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amurskie Tigry than the current prediction. (+17%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amurskie Tigry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almaz than the current prediction. (-16.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Almaz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Amurskie Tigry - Almaz Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
1. Svishchyov I. (G)
94. Melchakov A. (G)
7. Popov A.
4. Smirnov I.
22. Doroshenko M. (A)
14. Istomin L.
23. Kolodyazhnyi A.
81. Kazulayev D. (A)
74. Krasovsky A.
80. Volzhenkov L.
11. Melnik N. (C)
3. Ulyanov V.
Line 2
9. Matyev Y.
79. Zakharov I.
88. Dyominsky Y.
43. Kichigin N.
82. Shuvalov N.
37. Savin V.
43. Samsonov Y.
89. Sadovin O.
96. Startsev V.
24. Denezhkin V. (A)
Line 3
75. Sherstnev I.
71. Korzin A.
65. Kagramanov R.
36. Konovalov M.
51. Alekseichuk S.
93. Muminov L.
78. Saksonin G.
76. Golovanov M.
57. Vagapov D. (A)
55. Smirnov A.
Line 4
84. Kibenko I.
90. Ivanov I.
76. Salikov G.
65. Rasputin D.
72. Gusev Y.
11. Kalinin T.
80. Manukyan G.
92. Prishchepa I.
42. Tatyanakin M.
Substitutes
30. Lemeshko K. (G)
60. Filimonov Y. (G)
96. Shilov G. (C)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
12:18, 0 - 1, Volzhenkov L. (G), Kazulayev D. (A), Ulyanov V. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
15:48, 1 - 1, Shuvalov N. (G),
17:49, 2 - 1, Vagapov D. (G), Saksonin G. (A), Alekseichuk S. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amurskie Tigry won 2.
Amurskie Tigry has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Almaz is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Almaz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Almaz could have a small edge in this match.
We predict that Almaz will win today's game, with odds of 1.88.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Amurskie Tigry won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 41:78. (average 2.1:3.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Amurskie Tigry won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:42. (average 1.8:4.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Amurskie Tigry - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.68%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Almaz - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.68%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.