Match Info

MHL

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday


	Almaz		Kapitan Stupino

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.67	3.8
	1.73	4.38	3.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.7)	4.53 ↓ (4.7)	3.84 ↑ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almaz
54.4%

Draw
20.9%

Kapitan Stupino
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

20%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

19.7%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Kapitan Stupino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almaz than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kapitan Stupino than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Almaz - Kapitan Stupino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
94. Melchakov A. (G)	50. Rudovich P. (G)
4. Smirnov I.	6. Timashev D.
14. Istomin L.	94. Kozlov I.
81. Kazulayev D.	47. Rakov P.
80. Volzhenkov L.	27. Lobanov I. (A)
3. Ulyanov V.	56. Avramov F. (C)
Line 2
36. Konovalov M.	81. Tarasov A.
43. Kichigin N.	95. Dautov M. (A)
89. Sadovin O.	51. Naidenko T.
96. Shilov G. (C)	82. Drozdov V.
24. Denezhkin V. (A)	78. Sulima V.
Line 3
71. Korzin A.	43. Chamayev A.
90. Ivanov I.	4. Kruglikov D.
37. Savin V.	83. Menshenin Y.
91. Perminov T. (A)	36. Kutishchev K.
55. Smirnov A.	25. Meshalkin D.
Line 4
45. Sobolev S.	42. Itkin A.
92. Prishchepa I.	76. Tatulov G.
11. Kalinin T.	20. Vergeichik V.
65. Rasputin D.	71. Zaitsev M.
Substitutes
46. Dovgy I. (G)	90. Barabanov M.
34. Vlasov Y.	52. Beryoza A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
09:23, 1 - 0, Sadovin O. (G), Istomin L. (A),
17:09, 1 - 1, Vergeichik V. (G), Zaitsev M. (A), Timashev D. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
12:27, 2 - 1, Volzhenkov L. (G), Ulyanov V. (A), Istomin L. (A2)
18:57, 3 - 1, Kazulayev D. (G), Kalinin T. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almaz won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Kapitan Stupino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Almaz has had a series of home games.

In this match, Almaz is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Almaz won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 55:50. (average 2.8:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Almaz won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:23. (average 3.1:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almaz Cherepovets
MHL
17.09.25	AKM-Junior - Almaz	3:4 ✺
13.09.25	Almaz - Mikhaylov Academy	1:8 ✺
12.09.25	Almaz - Mikhaylov Academy	2:1 OT ✺
09.09.25	Almaz - MHC Dynamo Moscow	1:2 ✺
08.09.25	Almaz - MHC Dynamo Moscow	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWLL
- Kapitan Stupino
MHL
17.09.25	Kapitan Stupino - Loko	2:4 ✺
13.09.25	AKM-Junior - Kapitan Stupino	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
28.08.25	Atlant - Kapitan Stupino	1:4 ✺
27.08.25	Kapitan Stupino - Atlant	3:0 ✺
21.08.25	Krylya Sovetov - Kapitan Stupino	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
29.07.25	Almaz - Kapitan Stupino	2:3 OT
MHL
28.02.25	Almaz - Kapitan Stupino	6:1
22.11.24	Kapitan Stupino - Almaz	1:0
11.12.23	Kapitan Stupino - Almaz	4:3 penalties
10.12.23	Kapitan Stupino - Almaz	5:4
28.11.23	Almaz - Kapitan Stupino	2:5
27.11.23	Almaz - Kapitan Stupino	7:2

Almaz - Kapitan Stupino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide