Match Info

RUSSIA: NMHL

Date: 9 December 2024, Monday


	Arktika Murmansk		Hors Podolsk

	1	X	2
	1.4	5.4	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (2.15)	5.4 ↑ (4.2)	5.25 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arktika Murmansk
65.5%

Draw
17%

Hors Podolsk
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

21.6%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

20.4%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arktika Murmansk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arktika Murmansk's performance.

Hors Podolsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hors Podolsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arktika Murmansk than the current prediction. (-20.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arktika Murmansk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hors Podolsk than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hors Podolsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
02:23, 1 - 0, Bobrov Y. (G), Zakharov V. (A), Verstivsky A. (A2)
07:47, 1 - 1, Ilyasov S. (G), Lazar K. (A), Gladkikh Y. (A2)
10:30, 2 - 1, Zakharov V. (G), Kvashnin K. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
10:28, 3 - 1, Gaina N. (G), Sheptukha A. (A),
15:24, 3 - 2, Tsevalyuk N. (G),
3rd Period (2 - 3)
01:53, 4 - 2, Kvashnin K. (G), Kovalchuk V. (A),
05:03, 4 - 3, Lazar K. (G), Gladkikh Y. (A),
08:20, 4 - 4, Lazar K. (G), Ilyasov S. (A),
10:27, 4 - 5, Shabrin V. (G), Gladkikh Y. (A),
19:28, 5 - 5, Yeremin A. (G), Sibgatullin D. (A), Kovalchuk V. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, Sibgatullin D. (Penalty Shot),
1, Lysak K. (Penalty Shot),
2, Verstivsky A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Yakovlev R. (Penalty Shot),
3, Kovalchuk V. (Penalty Shot),
3, Rasputin D. (Penalty Shot),
4, Nesterov R. (Penalty Shot),
4, Lazar K. (Penalty Shot),
5, Zakharov V. (Penalty Shot),
5, Tsevalyuk N. (Penalty Shot),
6, Yakovlev R. (Penalty Shot),
6, Verstivsky A. (Penalty Shot),

Last Results with these Odds

Hors Podolsk - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.07%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arktika Murmansk
RHL
08.12.24	Arktika Murmansk - Hors Podolsk	4:0 ✺
03.12.24	Arktika Murmansk - Ermak Angarsk	6:4 ✺
02.12.24	Arktika Murmansk - Ermak Angarsk	4:1 ✺
23.11.24	Tayfun Saint-Petersburg - Arktika Murmansk	3:4 ✺
22.11.24	Tayfun Saint-Petersburg - Arktika Murmansk	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.9 WWWWW
- Hors Podolsk
RHL
08.12.24	Arktika Murmansk - Hors Podolsk	4:0 ✺
05.12.24	Tayfun Saint-Petersburg - Hors Podolsk	4:2 ✺
04.12.24	Tayfun Saint-Petersburg - Hors Podolsk	1:3 ✺
01.12.24	Dinamo-576 - Hors Podolsk	6:1 ✺
30.11.24	Dinamo-576 - Hors Podolsk	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

RHL
08.12.24	Arktika Murmansk - Hors Podolsk	4:0
21.02.24	Arktika Murmansk - Hors Podolsk	2:1
20.02.24	Arktika Murmansk - Hors Podolsk	6:5 OT
06.10.23	Hors Podolsk - Arktika Murmansk	7:2
05.10.23	Hors Podolsk - Arktika Murmansk	2:4

Arktika Murmansk - Hors Podolsk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide