Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: Championship

Date: 28 October 2024, Monday

Location: Burabai (Kokshetau)


	Arlan Kokshetau		Humo Tashkent

	1	X	2
	2.35	4.25	2.25
	2.5	4.1	2.15	Watch
	2.63	4.13	2.18	Watch
	2.45	4	2.15
	2.67	3.98	2.15	Watch
	2.5	4.1	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.17)	4.09 ↑ (4.01)	2.17 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arlan Kokshetau
36.1%

Draw
22.2%

Humo Tashkent
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

22.7%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

22.2%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arlan Kokshetau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arlan Kokshetau's form might have worsened.

Humo Tashkent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Humo Tashkent's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arlan Kokshetau than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arlan Kokshetau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Humo Tashkent than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Humo Tashkent, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Arlan Kokshetau - Humo Tashkent Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Kudryavtsev S. (G)	80. Fomin L. (G)
91. Arkhipov D.	23. Borovikov S.
17. Basov K.	73. Buyalsky Y.
81. Borisov A.	33. Derbenyov A.
68. Borovkov V.	25. Gabrus V.
11. Buivan S.	92. Grents D.
71. Chaporov D.	18. Karaban D.
82. Gopiyenko A.	11. Khisamutdinov A.
7. Ibrayev R.	97. Kogan D.
15. Karpov M.	7. Kravchenko V.
55. Khoroshev F. (C)	8. Kuzniatsou A.
80. Kissel I.	17. Likhotnikov A. (A)
10. Kyrakov A.	51. Litovchenko V.
33. Mikhailov E.	27. Maltsev A.
8. Nikulin V.	89. Malysjev E.
41. Paramonov D.	15. Pavlenko A.
27. Pinidi D.	26. Shevchenko A.
95. Presnov D.	3. Siksna E. (C)
26. Sannikov S. (A)	22. Sinyavsky P. (A)
18. Volkov V.	88. Stepanenko I.
9. Zheleznov O. (A)	87. Zhilov V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
18:19, 1 - 0, Paramonov D. (G), Arkhipov D. (A), Gopiyenko A. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
08:20, 2 - 0, Sannikov S. (G), Paramonov D. (A),
19:04, 3 - 0, Nikulin V. (G),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
08:44, 4 - 0, Volkov V. (G), Nikulin V. (A), Borovkov V. (A2)
17:02, 4 - 1, Grents D. (G), Siksna E. (A),
17:55, 5 - 1, Borovkov V. (G), Volkov V. (A), Nikulin V. (A2)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arlan won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Humo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Arlan won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 32:32 (average 2.3:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Arlan won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17:19 (average 2.1:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arlan Kokshetau
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
27.10.24	Arlan Kokshetau - Humo Tashkent	0:3 ✺
21.10.24	Arlan Kokshetau - Aktobe	3:2 ✺
20.10.24	Arlan Kokshetau - Aktobe	3:2 ✺
11.10.24	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Arlan Kokshetau	1:2 ✺
10.10.24	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Arlan Kokshetau	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWWL
- Humo Tashkent
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
27.10.24	Arlan Kokshetau - Humo Tashkent	0:3 ✺
17.10.24	Humo Tashkent - Gornyak Rudny	2:5 ✺
16.10.24	Humo Tashkent - Gornyak Rudny	4:3 ✺
13.10.24	Saryarka - Humo Tashkent	4:5 OT ✺
12.10.24	Saryarka - Humo Tashkent	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
27.10.24	Arlan Kokshetau - Humo Tashkent	0:3
Kazakh Ice Hockey Cup
27.08.24	Arlan Kokshetau - Humo Tashkent	4:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
18.08.24	Humo Tashkent - Arlan Kokshetau	5:3
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
02.02.24	Arlan Kokshetau - Humo Tashkent	2:3 penalties
19.11.23	Humo Tashkent - Arlan Kokshetau	0:5
18.11.23	Humo Tashkent - Arlan Kokshetau	2:1 penalties
05.10.23	Arlan Kokshetau - Humo Tashkent	4:3 OT

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