Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: Championship

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Karagandy-Arena (Karaganda)


	Saryarka		Humo Tashkent

	1	X	2
	3	4.33	1.83
	3.15	4.05	1.85
	3.28	4.88	1.75	Watch
	3.1	4	1.8
	3.25	4.15	1.85	Watch
	3.1	4.1	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.35)	4.25 ↑ (4.09)	1.82 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saryarka
28.9%

Draw
21.4%

Humo Tashkent
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

22.2%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

18.6%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saryarka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Humo Tashkent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saryarka than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Humo Tashkent than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Humo Tashkent, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Saryarka - Humo Tashkent Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Saryarka will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Mikushin A. (G)	31. Klimakhin N. (G)
18. Bazhenov N.	23. Borovikov S.
9. Bolyakin Y.	73. Buyalsky Y.
16. Borisevich A.	33. Derbenyov A.
61. Dyomin R.	25. Gabrus V.
60. Kapotov A.	92. Grents D.
63. Khripkov Y.	18. Karaban D.
14. Konnov A.	11. Khisamutdinov A.
36. Korolinsky Y.	7. Kravchenko V.
71. Kuzmenko Y.	8. Kuzniatsou A.
68. Lyzin Y.	17. Likhotnikov A.
23. Namestnikov Y.	51. Litovchenko V.
79. Pelevin A.	27. Maltsev A.
89. Ponomaryov K.	89. Malysjev E.
17. Shingareyev T.	15. Pavlenko A.
33. Shulga V.	86. Savritsky D.
12. Simonov T.	26. Shevchenko A.
41. Stulov D. (C)	3. Siksna E. (C)
97. Valeev A.	22. Sinyavsky P.
55. Vereshchagin I.	88. Stepanenko I.
44. Zaitsev G.	87. Zhilov V.
Substitutes
35. Pakholenko D. (G)	80. Fomin L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 3)
02:21, 0 - 1, Kravchenko V. (G), Siksna E. (A),
05:00, 0 - 2, Kuzniatsou A. (G), Malysjev E. (A), Litovchenko V. (A2)
11:19, 1 - 2, Stulov D. (G), Dyomin R. (A),
12:56, 1 - 3, Malysjev E. (G), Litovchenko V. (A),
19:44, 2 - 3, Zaitsev G. (G), Konnov A. (A), Kuzmenko Y. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
05:19, 2 - 4, Stepanenko I. (G), Litovchenko V. (A), Shevchenko A. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
03:50, 3 - 4, Konnov A. (G), Bazhenov N. (A), Shulga V. (A2)
19:13, 4 - 4, Dyomin R. (G), Vereshchagin I. (A), Bazhenov N. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
04:16, 4 - 5, Stepanenko I. (G), Sinyavsky P. (A), Likhotnikov A. (A2)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Saryarka won 3.

Saryarka in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Humo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Humo have a series of guest games.

Humo will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Saryarka to win the game is with odds 3.35.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Saryarka won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 46:47 (average 2.3:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Saryarka won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 29:19 (average 2.9:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Saryarka
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
12.10.24	Saryarka - Humo Tashkent	3:2 OT ✺
09.10.24	Saryarka - Gornyak Rudny	2:1 penalties ✺
08.10.24	Saryarka - Gornyak Rudny	2:1 OT ✺
28.09.24	Kulager Petropavlovsk - Saryarka	0:3 ✺
27.09.24	Kulager Petropavlovsk - Saryarka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWWW
- Humo Tashkent
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
12.10.24	Saryarka - Humo Tashkent	3:2 OT ✺
07.10.24	Almaty - Humo Tashkent	5:2 ✺
06.10.24	Almaty - Humo Tashkent	1:4 ✺
27.09.24	Nomad - Humo Tashkent	5:1 ✺
26.09.24	Nomad - Humo Tashkent	1:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
12.10.24	Saryarka - Humo Tashkent	3:2 OT
05.03.24	Saryarka - Humo Tashkent	3:2 OT
01.03.24	Humo Tashkent - Saryarka	1:0
26.02.24	Saryarka - Humo Tashkent	3:1
25.02.24	Saryarka - Humo Tashkent	1:5
21.02.24	Humo Tashkent - Saryarka	2:5
20.02.24	Humo Tashkent - Saryarka	5:6 OT

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