The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arlan Kokshetau 35.6%
Draw 22%
Nomad 42.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.7%
22.2%
44%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.7%
23.5%
40.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arlan Kokshetau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Nomad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arlan Kokshetau than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nomad than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Arlan Kokshetau - Nomad Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Istomin V. (G)
21. Dudarkiyev J. (G)
18. Basov K.
57. Beisembayev A.
39. Beisembiyev T.
5. Boiko O. (C)
97. Belyayev L. (A)
15. Gross A.
14. Denisov A.
89. Kenesbay K.
7. Ibrayev R.
51. Kitarov T.
91. Ishchenko I.
31. Korolyov A. (A)
17. Kasenov A.
85. Makarov A.
22. Kisel I.
68. Mangisbayev A.
13. Korotin V. (A)
22. Medvedev D.
55. Kurakov A.
69. Merzlikin N.
63. Puzanov A.
84. Migunov A.
3. Royev S.
87. Nikitin K. (A)
26. Sannikov S. (C)
77. Ruslanuly A.
47. Sharapov A.
28. Sarkenov A.
15. Shegebayev A.
96. Shakshakbayev D.
10. Tarasenko V.
66. Shulga N.
87. Toluspayev T.
86. Simonov T.
33. Zakharov Z.
74. Suleimenov A.
88. Zalevsky B.
17. Tsybin D.
9. Tusupbekov R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
03:53, 1 - 0, Zakharov Z. (G), Sannikov S. (A), Korotin V. (A2)
08:39, 1 - 1, Medvedev D. (G), Boiko O. (A), Gross A. (A2)
12:13, 1 - 2, Sarkenov A. (G), Kitarov T. (A), Ruslanuly A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
16:46, 1 - 3, Merzlikin N. (G),
17:17, 2 - 3, Zakharov Z. (G), Sannikov S. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
04:22, 2 - 4, Nikitin K. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arlan won 3.
Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Arlan has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 53:47 (averaging 2.7:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Arlan against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 27:27 goals (averaging 2.5:2.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
2
Nomad Astana
25
17
3
2
3
102:61
42
3
Kokshetau
26
18
2
1
5
97:58
41
Last Results with these Odds
Nomad - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.05%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.