The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arosa 22.5%
Draw 20.3%
Thurgau 57.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
20.2%
19.8%
60%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.9%
22.5%
54.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Thurgau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thurgau than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Arosa - Thurgau Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4
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Lineups
Line 1
13. Simeoni D. (G)
81. Neuenschwander E. (G)
62. Warmbrodt N. Y.
47. Villa A.
64. Muller S.
11. Marchand L.
4. Jabola J. (A)
22. Truog L. C.
40. Weber G.
90. Ljunggren D. (A)
95. Orlov M.
38. Munger K. L.
Line 2
39. Minder T.
19. Murer F.
9. Morson G.
3. Hinder L.
97. Krakauskas E. (C)
13. Derungs I.
22. Vlcek T.
8. Bohler N.
81. Volejnicek D.
14. Okabe Z.
Line 3
7. Moret D.
6. Geisser M.
77. Boss D. (A)
18. Kuhni K. (A)
35. Schena L.
15. Diethelm M.
23. Aebi S.
46. Rundkvist A.
29. Mariethoz M.
88. Binias D.
Line 4
88. Rotheli M.
78. Lindemann K.
44. Zanolari A.
7. Embacher J.
96. Krakauskas T.
24. Hobi D. (C)
58. Mlynar S.
79. Etter K.
41. Gull J.
Substitutes
73. Pasche N. (G)
16. Haas K.
31. Simmchen S. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
17:04, 1 - 0, Vlcek T. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
11:14, 1 - 1, Hobi D. (G), Murer F. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 3)
05:04, 1 - 2, Kuhni K. (G),
18:27, 1 - 3, Binias D. (G),
19:48, 1 - 4, Derungs I. (G), Okabe Z. (A), Marchand L. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arosa won 0.
Arosa is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Thurgau have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Thurgau for this game.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Arosa has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:25 (averaging 1.5:4.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Arosa against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 5:10 goals (averaging 1.7:3.3 per game).