The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chur 34.7%
Draw 22.4%
Thurgau 42.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.2%
22.5%
33.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.9%
24.3%
36%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chur's form might have worsened.
Thurgau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thurgau's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chur than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thurgau than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thurgau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Chur - Thurgau Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Thurgau (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Thurgau (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
38. Neckar M. (G)
81. Neuenschwander E. (G)
81. Bartholet D.
47. Villa A.
64. Weber S.
11. Marchand L.
84. Canova J.
16. Haas K.
42. Ramsauer R.
90. Ljunggren D.
47. Brunner P.
14. Okabe Z.
Line 2
2. Baer S.
19. Murer F.
8. Cantin N.
3. Hinder L.
89. Rentsch N.
15. Diethelm M.
9. Melnalksnis R.
46. Rundkvist A.
87. Jenni T.
88. Binias D.
Line 3
73. Winter K.
78. Lindemann K.
21. Guggenheim B.
18. Kuhni K.
62. Aeschlimann M.
38. Munger K. L.
15. Dahler R. (C)
22. Truog L. C.
11. Wyss L.
13. Derungs I.
Line 4
77. Despont V.
59. Deussen L.
22. Frei L.
7. Embacher J.
37. Bont K.
24. Hobi D. (C)
86. Pekar M.
79. Etter K.
Substitutes
88. Berri F.
1. Bachler N. (G)
51. Brun A. (G)
12. Kauth T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
04:54, 1 - 0, Melnalksnis R. (G), Jenni T. (A), Rentsch N. (A2)
05:55, 2 - 0, Bont K. (G), Pekar M. (A), Despont V. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
02:10, 2 - 1, Derungs I. (G), Rundkvist A. (A), Binias D. (A2)
19:49, 2 - 2, Okabe Z. (G),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 2)
1, Bont K. (Penalty Shot),
1, Deussen L. (Penalty Shot),
2, Berri F. (Penalty Shot),
2, Okabe Z. (Penalty Shot),
3, Ramsauer R. (Penalty Shot),
3, Derungs I. (Penalty Shot),
4, Frei L. (Penalty Shot),
4, Ljunggren D. (Penalty Shot),
5, Aeschlimann M. (Penalty Shot),
5, Embacher J. (Penalty Shot),
6, Murer F. (Penalty Shot),
6, Brunner P. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chur won 3.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Chur has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:42 (averaging 1.9:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chur against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 13:14 goals (averaging 2.2:2.3 per game).
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Neckar M. (G) 
Neuenschwander E. (G) 
Ljunggren D. 
Brunner P. 
Okabe Z. 
Melnalksnis R. 
Binias D. 
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