Match Info

DEL - Round 27

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Curt-Frenzel-Stadion (Augsburg) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Germany	19:30	Magenta Sport


	Augsburger Panther		ERC Ingolstadt

	1	X	2
	4	5	1.62	Watch
	3.75	4.55	1.73	Watch
	3.63	4.12	1.74
	3.97	4.63	1.68	Watch
	3.6	4.4	1.67
	3.65	4.65	1.73	Watch
	3.85	4.25	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↓ (4.14)	4.51 ↓ (4.77)	1.68 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Augsburger Panther
24.5%

Draw
20.5%

ERC Ingolstadt
55%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.5%

19.6%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

19.4%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Augsburger Panther has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ERC Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburger Panther than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ERC Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Augsburger Panther - ERC Ingolstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: ERC Ingolstadt will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): ERC Ingolstadt will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
41. Jones P. (G)	36. Brochu B. (G)
62. Schemitsch T.	4. Ellis M.
55. Button R.	75. Breton A.
26. Blank A.	17. Girduckis A.
82. Grenier A.	9. Powell M.
18. Louis A.	11. Agostino K.
Line 2
22. Bowey M.	25. Huttl L.
27. Mayhew K.	2. Ruopp S.
14. Busdeker D.	37. Barber R.
20. Kunyk C.	98. Abbandonato P.
33. Wohlgemuth T.	92. Schmolz D.
Line 3
58. Renner M.	55. Tropmann E.
9. Wirth M.	95. Preto P.
45. Bast J.	8. Krauss P.
19. Damiani R.	89. Keating A.
92. Cramarossa J.	91. Sheen R.
Line 4
43. van der Linde L.	16. Krauss J.
25. Hanke C.	86. Pietta D.
52. Henriquez-Morales E.	85. Hauf L.
46. Elias M.
Substitutes
30. Dutzka D. (G)	1. Pertuch N. (G)
Coaches
. Peters B.	. French M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
01:05, Schmolz D. (2 min),
02:41, 1 - 0, Louis A. (G), Busdeker D. (A), Grenier A. (A2)
07:55, 1 - 1, Girduckis A. (G), Powell M. (A), Agostino K. (A2)
11:21, 2 - 1, Wohlgemuth T. (G), Mayhew K. (A), Busdeker D. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
03:20, 2 - 2, Pietta D. (G), Barber R. (A),
10:26, Bowey M. (2 min),
10:26, Hauf L. (2 min),
12:03, Wohlgemuth T. (2 min),
14:41, Schemitsch T. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
08:13, 3 - 2, Blank A. (G), Cramarossa J. (A),
10:48, 3 - 3, Ruopp S. (G), Schmolz D. (A), Keating A. (A2)
13:30, 3 - 4, Krauss J. (G), Breton A. (A),
14:32, Damiani R. (2 min),
14:45, Kunyk C. (2 min),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ DEL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburger Panther won 1.

Augsburger Panther is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ingolstadt has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ingolstadt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ingolstadt is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Augsburger Panther won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 41:71. (average 2.1:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Augsburger Panther won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:34. (average 2.7:3.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Augsburger Panther - the odds 4.14 are the expected chance of winning is 22.53%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

ERC Ingolstadt - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.92%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Augsburger Panther
German Ice Hockey League
07.12.25	Adler Mannheim - Augsburger Panther	7:0 ✺
04.12.25	Augsburger Panther - Dresdner Eislöwen	2:4 ✺
30.11.25	Iserlohn Roosters - Augsburger Panther	1:4 ✺
28.11.25	Augsburger Panther - Nurnberg Ice Tigers	1:5 ✺
25.11.25	Frankfurt Lions - Augsburger Panther	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLL
- ERC Ingolstadt
German Ice Hockey League
07.12.25	ERC Ingolstadt - Schwenninger Wild Wings	5:2 ✺
05.12.25	EHC München - ERC Ingolstadt	2:0 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
02.12.25	ERC Ingolstadt - Frölunda	1:3 ✺
German Ice Hockey League
30.11.25	Nurnberg Ice Tigers - ERC Ingolstadt	3:5 ✺
28.11.25	ERC Ingolstadt - Dresdner Eislöwen	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Ice Hockey League
16.11.25	ERC Ingolstadt - Augsburger Panther	5:1
23.10.25	Augsburger Panther - ERC Ingolstadt	4:2
26.01.25	Augsburger Panther - ERC Ingolstadt	2:5
10.01.25	ERC Ingolstadt - Augsburger Panther	4:1
03.11.24	ERC Ingolstadt - Augsburger Panther	4:1
19.09.24	Augsburger Panther - ERC Ingolstadt	3:2 OT
26.01.24	Augsburger Panther - ERC Ingolstadt	3:2 penalties

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