Match Info

Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Saturn Arena (Ingolstadt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	TSN+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 3
Sweden	Viaplay
Usa	NHL Network


	ERC Ingolstadt		Frölunda

	1	X	2
	3.5	4.5	1.65	Watch
	3.72	4.49	1.78
	3.43	4.08	1.8
	3.53	4.27	1.81	Watch
	3.6	4.4	1.67
	3.51	4.4	1.82	Watch
	3.6	4.4	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (3.55)	4.36 ↓ (4.4)	1.76 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ERC Ingolstadt
26.1%

Draw
21.3%

Frölunda
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

21.1%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

19.7%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for ERC Ingolstadt have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Frölunda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ERC Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frölunda than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

ERC Ingolstadt - Frölunda Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ingolstadt will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Frölunda will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Ingolstadt (2.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5, OT - Ingolstadt (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ingolstadt (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Pertuch N. (G)	30. Normann T. (G)
4. Ellis M. (C)	46. Egli D.
75. Breton A.	7. Tommernes H. (A)
17. Girduckis A.	12. Friberg M. (C)
9. Powell M.	40. Peterson J.
11. Agostino K.	9. Weissbach L.
Line 2
25. Huttl L. (A)	43. Nilsson T.
2. Ruopp S.	33. Hogberg L.
37. Barber R.	44. Dower Nilsson N.
98. Abbandonato P.	25. Ruotsalainen A.
92. Schmolz D.	21. Innala J.
Line 3
55. Tropmann E.	2. Folin Ch.
7. Jandric C.	26. Heens I.
8. Krauss P.	41. Stenberg I.
89. Keating A.	27. Niederbach T.
91. Sheen R.	11. Lindholm M.
Line 4
50. Spornberger P.	6. Hasa F.
23. Smallwood J.	32. Hasa N.
86. Pietta D. (A)	31. Lasu N. (A)
16. Krauss J.	92. Cederqvist F.
Substitutes
36. Brochu B. (G)	1. Johansson L. (G)
44. Schindler N.	10. Westergard M.
Coaches
. French M.	. Ohlsson R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
11:15, 1 - 0, Huttl L. (G), Girduckis A. (A), Agostino K. (A2)
19:21, Ruopp S. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
00:22, 1 - 1, Innala J. (G), Weissbach L. (A), Tommernes H. (A2)
12:33, 1 - 2, Tommernes H. (G), Egli D. (A), Friberg M. (A2)
15:04, Lasu N. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
11:59, 1 - 3, Hogberg L. (G), Friberg M. (A), Weissbach L. (A2)

Preview

1st leg.

Ingolstadt has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Frölunda is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Frölunda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Frölunda is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ingolstadt won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 2.7:4.3).

Including home match between the teams, Ingolstadt won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ERC Ingolstadt
German Ice Hockey League
30.11.25	Nurnberg Ice Tigers - ERC Ingolstadt	3:5 ✺
28.11.25	ERC Ingolstadt - Dresdner Eislöwen	3:2 OT ✺
26.11.25	ERC Ingolstadt - Eisbären Berlin	5:2 ✺
23.11.25	ERC Ingolstadt - Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven	5:2 ✺
21.11.25	Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams - ERC Ingolstadt	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWW
- Frölunda HC
SHL
29.11.25	Linköping - Frölunda	1:4 ✺
27.11.25	Skellefteå - Frölunda	2:4 ✺
22.11.25	Leksand - Frölunda	2:5 ✺
20.11.25	Frölunda - Malmö Redhawks	3:0 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
18.11.25	Frölunda - Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Ice Hockey
06.10.15	Frölunda - ERC Ingolstadt	4:1 OT
29.09.15	ERC Ingolstadt - Frölunda	4:2
European Trophy
23.08.13	Frölunda - ERC Ingolstadt	7:3

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