The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Baie-Comeau Drakkar 35.1%
Draw 22%
Cape Breton Screaming Eagles 42.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.8%
22.6%
37.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.7%
22.5%
37.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baie-Comeau Drakkar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Cape Breton Screaming Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cape Breton Screaming Eagles's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baie-Comeau Drakkar than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cape Breton Screaming Eagles than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cape Breton Screaming Eagles, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Beckman L. (G)
33. Towle C. (G)
3. Allison D.
11. Andrews D.
19. Armit L.
13. Boyer S.
17. Brunet S. (A)
2. Brauti J.
25. De Luca J.
74. Charron H.
24. Demers T.
8. De Ladurantaye J.
71. Gendron J.
94. Gendron L. (A)
13. Gilbert M.
22. Hartlin J.
6. Hachey Z.
23. Jettelson N.
43. Kay M.
28. Klaus A.
11. Kirkwood A.
77. Kupec S.
27. Labranche W.
3. Lavoie T. (C)
7. Mathieu A. (A)
19. Litalien E.
8. Miller Z.
27. L'Italien R. (A)
21. Murphy A.
65. McCullough A.
34. Pearson S. (C)
21. Peitzsche R.
22. Powers K. (A)
81. Rocca S.
41. Semenov G.
16. Romeo L. (A)
57. Vlk F.
88. Sauthier M.
23. Wotton D.
Substitutes
35. Giguere J. (G)
70. Hamel F. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
04:17, 1 - 0, Powers K. (G), Labranche W. (A), Murphy A. (A2)
18:21, 2 - 0, Allison D. (G), De Luca J. (A), Pearson S. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
06:56, 2 - 1, Sauthier M. (G), Lavoie T. (A), Jettelson N. (A2)
09:32, 2 - 2, Romeo L. (G), Brauti J. (A), Sauthier M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
03:53, 3 - 2, Mathieu A. (G), Semenov G. (A), Kirkwood A. (A2)
15:18, 3 - 3, Rocca S. (G), Gendron L. (A), Brauti J. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, Peitzsche R. (Penalty Shot),
1, Labranche W. (Penalty Shot),
2, L'Italien R. (Penalty Shot),
2, Armit L. (Penalty Shot),
3, Klaus A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Gendron J. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baie-Comeau won 2.
Baie-Comeau is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Cape Breton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Cape Breton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Cape Breton has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Baie-Comeau won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 77:45. (average 3.9:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Baie-Comeau won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 49:23. (average 4.5:2.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Baie-Comeau Drakkar - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 39.82%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Cape Breton Screaming Eagles - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 37.59%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
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Beckman L. (G) 
Towle C. (G) 
De Luca J. 
Klaus A. 
Kupec S. 
Semenov G. 
Sauthier M. 
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