Match Info

QMJHL

Date: 10 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Centre Henry-Leonard (Baie-Comeau, QC)


	Baie-Comeau Drakkar		Saint John Sea Dogs

	1	X	2
	3.09	4.32	1.86
	3.11	4.61	1.82
	3.1	4.2	1.8
	3	4.3	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.8)	4.36 ↑ (4.11)	1.82 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baie-Comeau Drakkar
29.5%

Draw
20.8%

Saint John Sea Dogs
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

22%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

19.5%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baie-Comeau Drakkar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Saint John Sea Dogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baie-Comeau Drakkar than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Baie-Comeau Drakkar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint John Sea Dogs than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saint John Sea Dogs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Caulfield S. (G)	30. Robinson J. (G)
3. Allison D.	2. Baldwin E.
15. Almstedt T.	24. Beaulieu J. (A)
19. Armit L.	43. Beveridge E.
17. Brunet S. (A)	5. Chartrand C.
20. Cadorin J.	18. Croteau V.
24. Cavallin A.	9. Donovan A.
25. De Luca J.	13. Drabczynski O.
40. Dwyer R.	44. Dube E.
13. Gilbert M.	71. Duhamel O.
6. Hachey Z.	81. Fullerton A. (A)
43. Kay M.	28. Gauthier A.
11. Kirkwood A.	91. Gendron J.
27. Labranche W.	86. Groulx O. (C)
49. Litterick K.	19. Joseph A.
7. Mathieu A. (A)	21. Krayer M.
47. Michaud A.	10. Morin Z.
8. Miller Z.	14. Murnieks O.
21. Murphy A.	8. Rozzi D.
34. Pearson S. (C)	23. Vilen M.
22. Powers K. (A)	3. Wasmer J.
41. Semenyov G.	22. Yared W.
57. Vlk F.	26. Zubek P.
Substitutes
35. Giguere J. (G)	37. Courchesne R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
12:54, 1 - 0, Michaud A. (G),
13:47, 2 - 0, Gilbert M. (G), Vlk F. (A), Litterick K. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
02:19, 3 - 0, Cadorin J. (G), Labranche W. (A),
13:16, 3 - 1, Rozzi D. (G), Dube E. (A), Baldwin E. (A2)
15:06, 3 - 2, Joseph A. (G), Morin Z. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
02:30, 3 - 3, Fullerton A. (G), Donovan A. (A), Groulx O. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
02:08, 3 - 4, Joseph A. (G), Duhamel O. (A), Vilen M. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baie-Comeau won 5.

Baie-Comeau is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Saint John has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Baie-Comeau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

Saint John could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Baie-Comeau won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 89:69. (average 4.5:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Baie-Comeau won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 50:27. (average 5.6:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baie-Comeau Drakkar
QMJHL
07.12.25	Chicoutimi Sagueneens - Baie-Comeau Drakkar	6:7 OT ✺
29.11.25	Baie-Comeau Drakkar - Quebec Remparts	2:6 ✺
28.11.25	Baie-Comeau Drakkar - Quebec Remparts	0:5 ✺
21.11.25	Baie-Comeau Drakkar - Halifax Mooseheads	4:5 ✺
20.11.25	Baie-Comeau Drakkar - Chicoutimi Sagueneens	1:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WLLLL
- Saint John Sea Dogs
QMJHL
07.12.25	Saint John Sea Dogs - Moncton Wildcats	2:4 ✺
04.12.25	Moncton Wildcats - Saint John Sea Dogs	7:4 ✺
30.11.25	Saint John Sea Dogs - Cape Breton Screaming Eagles	2:5 ✺
29.11.25	Saint John Sea Dogs - Cape Breton Screaming Eagles	3:7 ✺
28.11.25	Saint John Sea Dogs - Charlottetown Islanders	2:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

QMJHL
20.02.25	Baie-Comeau Drakkar - Saint John Sea Dogs	14:0
08.02.25	Saint John Sea Dogs - Baie-Comeau Drakkar	4:5
01.03.24	Saint John Sea Dogs - Baie-Comeau Drakkar	2:5
16.11.23	Baie-Comeau Drakkar - Saint John Sea Dogs	6:2
12.01.23	Baie-Comeau Drakkar - Saint John Sea Dogs	5:3
04.01.23	Saint John Sea Dogs - Baie-Comeau Drakkar	4:3
08.02.22	Baie-Comeau Drakkar - Saint John Sea Dogs	5:7

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