The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Saint John Sea Dogs 35.9%
Draw 20%
Moncton Wildcats 44.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.9%
18.4%
56.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.1%
19.3%
54%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saint John Sea Dogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saint John Sea Dogs's performance.
Moncton Wildcats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moncton Wildcats might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint John Sea Dogs than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saint John Sea Dogs that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncton Wildcats than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moncton Wildcats could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Saint John Sea Dogs - Moncton Wildcats Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Meloche S. (G)
35. Weiner J. (G)
21. Cancik M.
6. Baird-Gajdos C.
27. Charbonneau T.
7. Batchilder J.
5. Chartrand C.
14. Benigno C.
26. Damphousse B.
17. Blace W.
76. Delarosbil B.
33. Boguniecki J.
9. Donovan A. (A)
3. Brosnan M.
13. Drabczynski O.
72. Bursaw L.
17. Glance J.
22. Chudzinski R.
86. Groulx O.
24. Fortier-Gendron A.
12. Howard R.
19. Gould S.
19. Joseph A. (A)
9. Kilfoil L.
72. Lanthier J. (A)
12. Laitinen J.
92. Lemieux O.
28. MacPhee M.
10. Morin Z.
10. Manchuso W.
98. Ozogany O.
27. Mullen E.
8. Rozzi D.
13. Survilas N.
23. Seymour J.
26. Thornborough S.
18. Williams L.
86. Tournas N.
Substitutes
37. Courchesne R. (G)
50. Rybkin Y. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
00:57, 0 - 1, Gould S. (G), Mullen E. (A),
01:51, 1 - 1, Lemieux O. (G), Cancik M. (A), Ozogany O. (A2)
02:32, 1 - 2, Tournas N. (G), Benigno C. (A), Laitinen J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
05:20, 2 - 2, Rozzi D. (G), Joseph A. (A), Chartrand C. (A2)
13:29, 2 - 3, Tournas N. (G), Gould S. (A),
18:45, 3 - 3, Joseph A. (G), Cancik M. (A),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, Glance J. (Penalty Shot),
1, Chudzinski R. (Penalty Shot),
2, Groulx O. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kilfoil L. (Penalty Shot),
3, Joseph A. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint John won 2.
Saint John is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Moncton has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Moncton is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Saint John has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 16 losses, with a goal aggregate of 52:100 (averaging 2.6:5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Saint John against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with 22:50 goals (averaging 2.2:5 per game).