The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Baie-Comeau Drakkar 28.1%
Draw 20.4%
Victoriaville Tigres 51.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.3%
21.2%
41.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.5%
23.6%
37.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baie-Comeau Drakkar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Baie-Comeau Drakkar's form might have worsened.
Victoriaville Tigres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Victoriaville Tigres's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baie-Comeau Drakkar than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Baie-Comeau Drakkar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoriaville Tigres than the current prediction. (-14.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Victoriaville Tigres, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Baie Comeau Drakkar - Victoriaville Tigres Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Poupart J. (G)
33. Nikolayev A. (G)
3. Allison D. (A)
5. Boutet V.
19. Armit L.
27. Desroches A.
15. Benoit R. (C)
17. Desruisseaux T. (A)
23. Besner B.
93. Dodier M.
17. Brunet S.
39. Gariepy L.
8. Daniele B.
26. Gravel T.
20. Dobrovolny J.
14. Guay L.
24. Foucher F.
92. Lebel X.
13. Gilbert M.
22. Lemaire D.
22. Gosselin L.
44. Lepage M. (A)
6. Hachey Z. (A)
19. Miller Z.
29. Kirkwood A.
25. Necak D.
12. Labranche J.
72. Paquet C.
21. Lazare B.
18. Perron M.
27. Oschgan J.
37. Royer J.
25. Roy E.
9. Shilov Y. (C)
42. Sabourin X.
86. Vincent J.
9. St-Gelais M.
71. Vlasov A.
Substitutes
32. Hernandez M. (G)
31. Catanzariti A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
05:41, 1 - 0, Oschgan J. (G), Lazare B. (A), Dobrovolny J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
03:30, 1 - 1, Gariepy L. (G), Desroches A. (A), Lepage M. (A2)
06:47, 1 - 2, Gariepy L. (G), Shilov Y. (A), Paquet C. (A2)
11:59, 2 - 2, Armit L. (G), Besner B. (A), Benoit R. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 3)
05:19, 2 - 3, Lepage M. (G),
05:56, 2 - 4, Gariepy L. (G), Desroches A. (A),
19:30, 2 - 5, Paquet C. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baie-Comeau won 5.
Baie-Comeau has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Victoriaville have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Victoriaville could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Baie-Comeau has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 76:56 (averaging 3.8:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Baie-Comeau against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 38:25 goals (averaging 3.8:2.5 per game).