Match Info

QMJHL

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday

Location: Colisée Desjardins (Victoriaville, QC)


	Victoriaville Tigres		Sherbrooke Phoenix

	1	X	2
	2.67	4.36	2.14
	2.63	4.36	2.1
	2.6	4.3	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.6)	4.34 ↑ (4.31)	2.12 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victoriaville Tigres
35.1%

Draw
21.3%

Sherbrooke Phoenix
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

21.4%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

22.9%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victoriaville Tigres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Sherbrooke Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoriaville Tigres than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sherbrooke Phoenix than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Victoriaville Tigres - Sherbrooke Phoenix Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nikolayev A. (G)	30. Labbe K. (G)
5. Boutet V.	57. Aibatov D.
27. Desroches A.	2. Beck K.
17. Desruisseaux T.	18. Bellemare C.
93. Dodier M.	26. Benard E.
39. Gariepy L.	72. Carbonneau A.
26. Gravel T.	22. Fitzpatrick J.
14. Guay L.	14. Gagnon S. (A)
21. Guevin A.	19. Kolmakov I.
92. Lebel X.	55. Kuzminykh I.
22. Lemaire D.	34. Lampron O.
44. Lepage M. (A)	27. Leduc D.
19. Miller Z.	23. Martin A.
8. Nadeau N. (A)	8. Mazzola N.
25. Necak D.	15. Nolette-Robidoux E.
18. Perron M.	37. Plouffe J.
37. Royer J.	51. Rochon S.
9. Shilov Y.	91. Rousseau T. (A)
71. Vlasov A.	77. Tremblay L.
Substitutes
31. Catanzariti A. (G)	29. Stockseth P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
08:39, 0 - 1, Bellemare C. (G), Kolmakov I. (A), Tremblay L. (A2)
09:15, 0 - 2, Martin A. (G), Rochon S. (A),
18:21, 1 - 2, Lebel X. (G), Lemaire D. (A), Desruisseaux T. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
12:58, 1 - 3, Kuzminykh I. (G), Rochon S. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 4)
02:52, 1 - 4, Rochon S. (G), Kolmakov I. (A), Tremblay L. (A2)
04:18, 1 - 5, Rousseau T. (G), Bellemare C. (A), Plouffe J. (A2)
08:45, 1 - 6, Bellemare C. (G), Mazzola N. (A), Rousseau T. (A2)
15:55, 1 - 7, Nolette-Robidoux E. (G), Leduc D. (A), Lampron O. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Victoriaville won 2.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Victoriaville could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Victoriaville has recorded 8 wins, 1 draw, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 67:81 (averaging 3.4:4.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Victoriaville against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 32:31 goals (averaging 3.6:3.4 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Sherbrooke Phoenix - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.27%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victoriaville Tigres
QMJHL
20.09.26	Victoriaville Tigres - Drummondville Voltigeurs	8:7 ✺
18.09.26	Victoriaville Tigres - Val-dOr Foreurs	3:4
10.09.26	Victoriaville Tigres - Shawinigan Cataractes	4:0
03.09.26	Shawinigan Cataractes - Victoriaville Tigres	5:2
29.08.26	Victoriaville Tigres - Drummondville Voltigeurs	3:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WLWLW
- Sherbrooke Phoenix
QMJHL
19.09.26	Sherbrooke Phoenix - Drummondville Voltigeurs	5:4 ✺
18.09.26	Sherbrooke Phoenix - Quebec Remparts	4:1
11.09.26	Drummondville Voltigeurs - Sherbrooke Phoenix	2:0
04.09.26	Sherbrooke Phoenix - Drummondville Voltigeurs	2:5
30.08.26	Sherbrooke Phoenix - Shawinigan Cataractes	4:2
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

QMJHL
16.08.26	Victoriaville Tigres - Sherbrooke Phoenix	2:5
15.08.26	Sherbrooke Phoenix - Victoriaville Tigres	3:1
06.02.26	Sherbrooke Phoenix - Victoriaville Tigres	4:0
30.01.26	Victoriaville Tigres - Sherbrooke Phoenix	4:1
18.12.25	Victoriaville Tigres - Sherbrooke Phoenix	6:5
05.12.25	Sherbrooke Phoenix - Victoriaville Tigres	2:3
29.11.25	Sherbrooke Phoenix - Victoriaville Tigres	2:3 OT

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