Match Info

AHL

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Mechanics Bank Arena (Bakersfield, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Bakersfield Condors		Calgary Wranglers

	1	X	2
	2.05	4.2	2.63	Watch
	2.1	4.1	2.75
	2.19	4.05	2.65
	2.19	4.2	2.65
	2.18	4.29	2.64	Watch
	2.1	4.2	2.7
	2.15	4.15	2.61	Watch
	2.15	4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.16)	4.15 ↑ (3.9)	2.67 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bakersfield Condors
43.2%

Draw
22.3%

Calgary Wranglers
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

23.6%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

24.3%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bakersfield Condors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Calgary Wranglers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bakersfield Condors than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calgary Wranglers than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Bakersfield Condors - Calgary Wranglers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Pickard C. (G)	35. Sergeev A. (G)
82. Akey B.	22. Bell P.
73. Carfagna D.	19. Bishop C. (C)
64. Clattenburg C.	20. Gallant A. (A)
19. D'Amato D.	3. Grushnikov A.
55. Dineen C. (A)	15. Hunt D. (A)
39. Griffith S. (C)	44. King C.
52. Hamblin J. (A)	23. Kirkland J.
53. Howard I.	26. Miromanov D.
23. Hutson Q.	21. Morin E.
63. Keppen E.	45. Morton S.
37. Leppanen A.	28. Othmann B.
57. Marjala V.	2. Ottenbreit T.
78. Millman M.	4. Pauls C.
43. Petrov M.	25. Silye D.
68. Pitlick R.	11. Stromgren W.
8. Poulin S.	36. Suniev A.
77. Prokop L.	8. White G.
75. Regula A.	16. Wilkie C.
Substitutes
90. Tomkins M. (G)	50. Prosvetov I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
01:28, 1 - 0, Leppanen A. (G), Marjala V. (A), Hutson Q. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bakersfield won 4.

Bakersfield has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Calgary is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bakersfield may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Calgary has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bakersfield won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 60:57. (average 3:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Bakersfield won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 39:25. (average 4.3:2.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Bakersfield Condors - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.56%, but this team recently wins 35% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bakersfield Condors
AHL
20.03.26	San Diego Gulls - Bakersfield Condors	7:4 ✺
14.03.26	Texas Stars - Bakersfield Condors	6:2 ✺
13.03.26	Texas Stars - Bakersfield Condors	1:4 ✺
07.03.26	Bakersfield Condors - Tucson Roadrunners	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Bakersfield Condors - Tucson Roadrunners	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWWL
- Calgary Wranglers
AHL
19.03.26	Calgary Wranglers - Henderson Silver Knights	3:8 ✺
17.03.26	Calgary Wranglers - Henderson Silver Knights	5:6 ✺
15.03.26	Calgary Wranglers - Manitoba Moose	2:4 ✺
13.03.26	Calgary Wranglers - Manitoba Moose	7:2 ✺
08.03.26	Coachella Valley Firebirds - Calgary Wranglers	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
20.02.26	Bakersfield Condors - Calgary Wranglers	4:5 OT
03.02.26	Bakersfield Condors - Calgary Wranglers	3:2 OT
18.01.26	Calgary Wranglers - Bakersfield Condors	0:1 OT
16.01.26	Calgary Wranglers - Bakersfield Condors	1:5
18.11.25	Bakersfield Condors - Calgary Wranglers	5:2
02.11.25	Calgary Wranglers - Bakersfield Condors	6:1
01.11.25	Calgary Wranglers - Bakersfield Condors	4:3 OT

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