The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Jose Barracuda 39.3%
Draw 21.5%
Bakersfield Condors 39.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.2%
23.4%
34.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47%
26%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Jose Barracuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Bakersfield Condors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Barracuda than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Jose Barracuda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bakersfield Condors than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bakersfield Condors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
San Jose Barracuda - Bakersfield Condors Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Carriere G. (G)
40. Ungar C. (G)
59. Bargholtz E.
44. Brown J.
70. Beck N.
73. Carfagna D.
94. Boltmann J.
19. D'Amato D.
15. Bowers S.
55. Dineen C. (A)
18. Bystedt F.
39. Griffith S. (C)
17. Crespo J.
52. Hamblin J. (A)
90. Crnkovic K.
53. Howard I.
54. Giles P. (A)
23. Hutson Q.
86. Hache B.
15. Jarventie R.
14. Halttunen K.
63. Keppen E.
95. Hoffmann B.
54. Lafreniere T.
40. Huntington J. (A)
37. Leppanen A.
47. Messineo T.
38. Lewandowski D.
13. Musty Q.
57. Marjala V.
61. Sarsland T.
56. Nicholl W.
67. Vanroboys L.
8. Poulin S.
83. Villeneuve-Houle D.
75. Regula A.
76. Vincent A. (A)
61. Stillman R.
Substitutes
36. Skarek J. (G)
90. Tomkins M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
11:20, 1 - 0, Halttunen K. (G), Bystedt F. (A), Hoffmann B. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
08:48, 1 - 1, Howard I. (G), Leppanen A. (A), Griffith S. (A2)
14:51, 2 - 1, Musty Q. (G), Bystedt F. (A),
18:00, 2 - 2, Marjala V. (G), Howard I. (A), Lewandowski D. (A2)
18:30, 3 - 2, Crnkovic K. (G), Huntington J. (A), Hache B. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
18', 3 - 3, (G),
Overtime (1 - 0)
01', 4 - 3, (G),
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
San Jose is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Bakersfield is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 2.
San Jose has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Bakersfield has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Bakersfield has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 73:67. (average 3.7:3.4).
Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 39:28. (average 4.3:3.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Bakersfield Condors - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.45%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.