The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Coachella Valley Firebirds 37.8%
Draw 23.2%
Bakersfield Condors 39%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.7%
22.6%
38.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.3%
24.8%
42.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coachella Valley Firebirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Bakersfield Condors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coachella Valley Firebirds than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bakersfield Condors than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Coachella Valley Firebirds - Bakersfield Condors Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Kokko N. (G)
90. Tomkins M. (G)
10. Avon J.
44. Brown J.
57. Firkus J.
73. Carfagna D.
78. Fisker Molgaard O.
19. D'Amato D.
47. Hammell K.
55. Dineen C. (A)
15. Hayden J. (A)
39. Griffith S. (C)
43. Jugnauth T.
52. Hamblin J. (A)
72. Loshko A.
53. Howard I.
63. Melanson J.
23. Hutson Q.
96. Morrison L.
15. Jarventie R.
24. Nelson T.
63. Keppen E.
33. Nyman J.
54. Lafreniere T.
23. Olofsson G. (A)
37. Leppanen A.
36. Ottavainen V.
57. Marjala V.
16. Rehkopf C.
56. Nicholl W.
29. Roed L.
68. Pitlick R.
12. Sale E.
8. Poulin S.
67. Stephens M. (A)
75. Regula A.
50. Wright C.
61. Stillman R.
Substitutes
40. Ostman V. (G)
40. Ungar C. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (4 - 0)
01:56, 1 - 0, Avon J. (G), Nyman J. (A), Fisker Molgaard O. (A2)
08:36, 2 - 0, Firkus J. (G), Morrison L. (A),
13:02, 3 - 0, Melanson J. (G), Roed L. (A), Fisker Molgaard O. (A2)
18:22, 4 - 0, Nyman J. (G), Olofsson G. (A), Firkus J. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 2)
02:14, 4 - 1, Carfagna D. (G), Marjala V. (A), Griffith S. (A2)
08:18, 4 - 2, Hutson Q. (G), Griffith S. (A), Howard I. (A2)
16:50, 5 - 2, Morrison L. (G), Nyman J. (A),
17:24, 6 - 2, Fisker Molgaard O. (G), Melanson J. (A), Roed L. (A2)
Preview
Series tied 1-1. Third leg.
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coachella Valley won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Bakersfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
We predict that Coachella Valley will win today's game, with odds of 2.4.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Coachella Valley won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 63:74. (average 3.2:3.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Coachella Valley won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:34. (average 3.4:3.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Coachella Valley Firebirds - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.68%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
Bakersfield Condors - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.68%, but this team recently wins 28% of matches with these odds.