The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Baranovichy 12.7%
Draw 15.7%
Metallurg Zhlobin 71.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
15.4%
17.1%
67.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.1%
17.8%
64.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baranovichy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Metallurg Zhlobin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baranovichy than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Zhlobin than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metallurg Zhlobin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Baranovichy - Metallurg Zhlobin Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Kiverov N. (G)
1. Gromovik Y. (G)
76. Lupachyov V.
86. Volchenkov A.
4. Rogach D. (A)
71. Yershov V.
78. Krein T.
47. Spat I.
15. Shilo V. (A)
91. Krikunenko R.
13. Astashevich A.
94. Kuznetsov R.
Line 2
18. Golovko I.
5. Geraschenko A.
3. Sazanovich A.
78. Romanovich S.
16. Bourosh D.
15. Bodilovsky R.
23. Martynets D.
99. Kuzmenko Y.
97. Sereda A.
17. Veremeyenko Y.
Line 3
96. Kostko I.
61. Naumov V.
8. Kalin Y. (C)
44. Gramovich V.
42. Matlakhov A.
16. Tukach D.
41. Klimov D.
22. Bovbel V.
19. Paranin I.
10. Timirev A.
Line 4
47. Yukhnevich I.
21. Grishkov K.
68. Kozich A.
88. Ignatov K.
98. Zayats A.
87. Litvinov T.
21. Koshevoy P.
81. Zubov A.
27. Vertinsky A.
Substitutes
30. Sementsov N. (G)
92. Lushchik I. (G)
13. Pavlov I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
10:55, 1 - 0, Martynets D. (G), Bourosh D. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
15:15, 2 - 0, Shilo V. (G), Astashevich A. (A),
17:41, 2 - 1, Kuzmenko Y. (G), Veremeyenko Y. (A), Grishkov K. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baranovichy won 0.
Baranovichy is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Metallurg Zhlobin is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Metallurg Zhlobin could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Baranovichy has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Recently, Metallurg Zhlobin has had a run of games away from home.
The betting markets point to Metallurg Zhlobin as the clear and undisputed favorite.
Our forecast points to a victory for Metallurg Zhlobin in today's match, at odds of 1.3.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Baranovichy has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:46 (averaging 2.3:4.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Baranovichy against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 13:21 goals (averaging 2.6:4.2 per game).