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Current Win Probability
Baranovichy 33.4%
Draw 22.4%
Yunost Minsk 44.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.8%
22.2%
53%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.4%
21.7%
51.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baranovichy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Baranovichy's performance.
Yunost Minsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yunost Minsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baranovichy than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Baranovichy that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yunost Minsk than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yunost Minsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Baranovichy - Yunost Minsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Sementsov N. (G)
33. Prokhorov Y. (G)
76. Lupachyov V.
89. Malysjev M.
4. Rogach D.
23. Parfenyuk N.
78. Krein T.
15. Pavlenko A.
15. Shilo V.
92. Rovba V.
13. Astashevich A.
11. Buyalsky Y.
Line 2
68. Kozich A.
46. Dostanko R.
3. Sazanovich A.
5. Misyul D.
16. Bourosh D.
98. Salygo N.
23. Martynets D.
17. Nechayev A.
97. Sereda A.
82. Khobyan D.
Line 3
96. Kostko I.
74. Ponomaryov S.
8. Kalin Y.
63. Nevera D.
42. Matlakhov A.
93. Vorozhtsov A.
41. Klimov D.
22. Simonov A.
19. Paranin I.
67. Sokolovsky M.
Line 4
47. Yukhnevich I.
28. Sirotin N.
28. Materukhin M.
21. Bobrovskikh K.
21. Koshevoy P.
75. Suvorov A.
27. Vertinsky A.
27. Shidlovsky M.
13. Kazaryan A.
Substitutes
35. Kiverov N. (G)
35. Parakhnevich D. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
11:30, 1 - 0, Martynets D. (G), Sazanovich A. (A), Bourosh D. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
05:56, 2 - 0, Sereda A. (G), Martynets D. (A),
3rd Period (3 - 0)
00:09, 3 - 0, Astashevich A. (G), Shilo V. (A), Rogach D. (A2)
05:42, 4 - 0, Kalin Y. (G),
16:31, 5 - 0, Krein T. (G), Shilo V. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baranovichy won 2.
In recent outings, Baranovichy has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Yunost Minsk has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Recently, Baranovichy has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Yunost Minsk is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Baranovichy has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:57 (averaging 1.8:4.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Baranovichy against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 15:34 goals (averaging 2.1:4.9 per game).
Outrights of Belarusian Extraleague for now
Yunost Minsk: 1.99%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
9
Baranavichy
11
5
0
1
5
37:42
11
13
Yunost Minsk
11
1
0
1
9
21:48
3
Last Results with these Odds
Yunost Minsk - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 53%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.