Match Info

VHL

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Sports Sarae (Kazan)


	Bars Kazan		Chelmet

	1	X	2
	2.41	3.72	2.58
	2.39	3.85	2.54	Watch
	2.35	3.85	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.48)	3.81 ↑ (3.78)	2.49 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bars Kazan
38.7%

Draw
24.2%

Chelmet
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

24.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

26.5%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bars Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Chelmet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Bars Kazan - Chelmet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Stolpechenkov A. (G)	93. Mosharov D. (G)
22. Bardin I.	22. Filatov A.
60. Lisov N.	66. Drugalya S.
61. Khasanov I.	97. Matyushin A.
9. Alshevsky S. (A)	57. Telegin N.
17. Gizatullin D.	14. Zinovyev I. (C)
Line 2
24. Bogatov N. (A)	18. Mikanovich D.
53. Makhmutov A.	48. Pronichkin A.
55. Sherstnyov D.	29. Mokin M. (A)
96. Nazmutdinov A.	95. Aglamzyanov R.
93. Barsukov I.	98. Kolodiy L.
Line 3
71. Samigullin R.	90. Klimontov K. (A)
84. Safin A.	73. Fedoseyev Y.
32. Vasilkov A.	10. Nizameyev A.
28. Golubev D. (C)	37. Mits Z.
64. Gazizov R.	46. Shaveko V.
Line 4
16. Toporkov V.	25. Fakhrutdinov R.
18. Potapov Y.	77. Tertyshny A.
23. Zinovyev D.	36. Shubin D.
72. Mekhovov I.	67. Shchekoldin K.
88. Alshevsky Y.	17. Yekimov N.
Substitutes
80. Chibizov A. (G)	40. Sherstnev S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
16:08, 1 - 0, Sherstnyov D. (G), Lisov N. (A), Nazmutdinov A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
00:36, 1 - 1, Zinovyev I. (G), Telegin N. (A), Fedoseyev Y. (A2)
14:36, 1 - 2, Mikanovich D. (G), Filatov A. (A), Shubin D. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
18:14, 1 - 3, Pronichkin A. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bars won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Bars may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Bars has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bars won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 47:50. (average 2.4:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bars won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 2.4:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
21	Bars	12	5	0	1	6	28:41	11
26	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	10	2	1	2	5	20:36	8

Last Results with these Odds

Chelmet - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.71%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Bars Kazan
VHL
13.02.26	Bars Kazan - Gornyak-UGMK	4:1 ✺
09.02.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Bars Kazan	2:1 penalties ✺
07.02.26	Molot Perm - Bars Kazan	3:0 ✺
05.02.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Bars Kazan	4:3 OT ✺
03.02.26	Izhstal - Bars Kazan	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLLW
- HC Chelmet
VHL
09.02.26	Chelmet - Dinamo St. Petersburg	4:2 ✺
07.02.26	Chelmet - SKA-VMF	3:2 ✺
03.02.26	Norilsk - Chelmet	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Chelmet	3:1 ✺
29.01.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Chelmet	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
29.09.25	Chelmet - Bars Kazan	3:2 penalties
13.12.24	Bars Kazan - Chelmet	5:4
03.12.24	Chelmet - Bars Kazan	2:3
24.11.23	Bars Kazan - Chelmet	1:3
18.11.23	Chelmet - Bars Kazan	3:5
10.01.23	Bars Kazan - Chelmet	0:3
12.10.22	Chelmet - Bars Kazan	4:1

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