Match Info

VHL

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Yunost arena (Chelyabinsk)


	Chelmet		SKA-VMF

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.92	3.69
	1.64	4.45	4.25	Watch
	1.6	4	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.84)	4.12 ↑ (4.03)	4.06 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmet
55.1%

Draw
22.3%

SKA-VMF
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

22.9%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

22.2%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chelmet's performance.

SKA-VMF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chelmet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SKA-VMF could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Chelmet - SKA VMF Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. SKA-VMF will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Sherstnev S. (G)	30. Zavragin Y. (G)
18. Mikanovich D.	27. Sapunov V.
42. Yusupov V.	84. Vydrenkov I.
97. Matyushin A.	97. Nugmanov A.
57. Telegin N.	17. Kabush M. (A)
14. Zinovyev I. (C)	91. Lutfullin I.
Line 2
43. Rodionov M.	63. Anisimov S.
22. Filatov A.	80. Gryaznov G. (C)
29. Mokin M. (A)	16. Demidov S.
83. Gorbunov S.	24. Sharov A. (A)
71. Kisakov A.	39. Kuzminov Y.
Line 3
77. Tertyshny A.	48. Salnikov E.
66. Drugalya S.	12. Remezovsky I.
17. Yekimov N.	89. Surayev N.
37. Mits Z.	37. Ilyichyov M.
46. Shaveko V.	81. Slivchenko M.
Line 4
35. Kosachyov Y.	5. Yarullin A.
90. Klimontov K. (A)	85. Kapchuk S.
98. Kolodiy L.	23. Osipov G.
67. Shchekoldin K.	56. Khanin M.
36. Shubin D.
Substitutes
30. Utenkov D. (G)	10. Ignatov I.
	52. Moysevich P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
11:15, 1 - 0, Shaveko V. (G), Telegin N. (A), Matyushin A. (A2)
11:48, 2 - 0, Kisakov A. (G), Mokin M. (A), Gorbunov S. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
13:31, 3 - 0, Rodionov M. (G), Gorbunov S. (A), Filatov A. (A2)
16:36, 3 - 1, Nugmanov A. (G), Kabush M. (A), Lutfullin I. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
00:16, 3 - 2, Lutfullin I. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelmet won 4.

Recent performances by Chelmet have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

SKA-VMF is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

SKA-VMF may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Chelmet has had a series of away games.

Recently, SKA-VMF has had a series of home games.

In this match, Chelmet is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chelmet won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 50:57. (average 2.5:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelmet won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:27. (average 2.2:2.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
14	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	11	5	2	0	4	27:21	14
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	10	2	1	2	5	20:36	8

Last Results with these Odds

Chelmet - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.02%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Chelmet
VHL
03.02.26	Norilsk - Chelmet	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Chelmet	3:1 ✺
29.01.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Chelmet	3:2 ✺
27.01.26	Dynamo-Altay - Chelmet	2:3 OT ✺
22.01.26	Chelmet - Tambov	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLWW
- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
VHL
05.02.26	Gornyak-UGMK - SKA-VMF	1:3 ✺
01.02.26	SKA-VMF - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	SKA-VMF - Molot Perm	2:4 ✺
28.01.26	SKA-VMF - Toros Neftekamsk	4:2 ✺
26.01.26	SKA-VMF - Izhstal	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
11.10.25	SKA-VMF - Chelmet	3:4
08.02.25	Chelmet - SKA-VMF	2:1 OT
15.10.24	SKA-VMF - Chelmet	0:2
12.01.24	Chelmet - SKA-VMF	3:1
09.10.23	SKA-VMF - Chelmet	6:4
03.02.23	SKA-VMF - Chelmet	1:4
19.09.22	Chelmet - SKA-VMF	4:3

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