Match Info

VHL

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Kuznetsk Metallurgists (Novokuznetsk)


	Metallurg Novokuznetsk		Chelmet

	1	X	2
	1.72	4.01	3.75
	1.73	4.45	3.81	Watch
	1.6	4.4	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.52)	4.29 ↓ (4.75)	3.8 ↓ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Novokuznetsk
54.5%

Draw
21.4%

Chelmet
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

19.3%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

21.4%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Novokuznetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metallurg Novokuznetsk's form might have worsened.

Chelmet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Chelmet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
94. Bogdanov N. (G)	93. Mosharov D. (G)
47. Churkin V.	22. Filatov A.
51. Mineyev M.	66. Drugalya S.
17. Sokolov D.	29. Mokin M. (A)
40. Apalkov D. (C)	95. Aglamzyanov R.
61. Gorshkov A. (A)	97. Matyushin A.
Line 2
77. Vinogradov A.	90. Klimontov K. (A)
9. Belov D.	73. Fedoseyev Y.
88. Shalagin M.	98. Kolodiy L.
50. Kurbatov V.	57. Telegin N.
18. Serdyuk Y.	14. Zinovyev I. (C)
Line 3
8. Naumov V.	77. Tertyshny A.
75. Starikov L.	18. Mikanovich D.
97. Ovchinnikov D.	17. Yekimov N.
24. Khrapov F.	37. Mits Z.
10. Sheshin D. (A)	25. Fakhrutdinov R.
Line 4
46. Berezin M.	16. Shen A.
59. Perevalov A.	48. Pronichkin A.
89. Guslistov N.	67. Shchekoldin K.
33. Shablovsky Z.	46. Shaveko V.
	36. Shubin D.
Substitutes
42. Kondyukov V. (G)	30. Utenkov D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
09:12, 1 - 0, Shablovsky Z. (G), Khrapov F. (A), Mineyev M. (A2)
13:47, 1 - 1, Zinovyev I. (G), Kolodiy L. (A), Telegin N. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
10:46, 2 - 1, Serdyuk Y. (G), Kurbatov V. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
07:57, 2 - 2, Zinovyev I. (G),
15:29, 3 - 2, Sokolov D. (G), Naumov V. (A), Serdyuk Y. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 5.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Chelmet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Metallurg N has had a series of away games.

In this match, Metallurg N is a strong favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 49:26. (average 2.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Metallurg N won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:11. (average 3.1:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
10	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	12	6	0	3	3	22:14	15
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	10	2	1	2	5	20:36	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metallurg Novokuznetsk
VHL
27.01.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Gornyak-UGMK	3:2 OT ✺
23.01.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:4 penalties ✺
21.01.26	Molot Perm - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:1 OT ✺
19.01.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	4:5 penalties ✺
17.01.26	Izhstal - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWW
- HC Chelmet
VHL
27.01.26	Dynamo-Altay - Chelmet	2:3 OT ✺
22.01.26	Chelmet - Tambov	5:2 ✺
20.01.26	Chelmet - Rostov	3:2 ✺
18.01.26	Chelmet - Buran Voronezh	1:3 ✺
14.01.26	Omskie Krylia - Chelmet	4:5 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
20.10.25	Chelmet - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3
14.03.25	Chelmet - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:2
13.09.24	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Chelmet	2:0
24.01.24	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Chelmet	3:1
28.09.23	Chelmet - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:2
22.01.23	Chelmet - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:4
03.10.22	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Chelmet	1:2

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