Match Info

VHL

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Dvorets Sporta Arktika (Norilsk)


	Norilsk		Chelmet

	1	X	2
	2.54	3.69	2.36
	2.7	4	2.24	Watch
	2.7	4	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.89)	3.9 ↓ (3.98)	2.22 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norilsk
34.8%

Draw
23.6%

Chelmet
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

23.1%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

25%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norilsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Chelmet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Chelmet aligns with the current prediction.

Norilsk - Chelmet Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelmet (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Nikitin V. (G)	93. Mosharov D. (G)
18. Alexeyev D.	95. Aglamzyanov R.
81. Barinov S.	66. Drugalya S.
71. Golodnyuk S.	25. Fakhrutdinov R.
99. Kandakov D.	73. Fedoseyev Y.
7. Kirileichenko M.	22. Filatov A.
21. Kolomiytsev I.	90. Klimontov K. (A)
72. Korchemkin D.	98. Kolodiy L.
44. Kovalev I.	97. Matyushin A.
3. Kudryashov I.	18. Mikanovich D.
10. Lipanov A.	37. Mits Z.
28. Makeyev N.	29. Mokin M. (A)
86. Melnichenko K.	48. Pronichkin A.
64. Minayev Y.	46. Shaveko V.
56. Mokin N.	67. Shchekoldin K.
14. Sinyatkin S.	36. Shubin D.
69. Skorikov D.	57. Telegin N.
58. Yadykin Y.	77. Tertyshny A.
92. Yakovlev Y.	17. Yekimov N.
63. Yemets I.	14. Zinovyev I. (C)
Substitutes
37. Botov M. (G)	30. Utenkov D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
02:49, 0 - 1, Kolodiy L. (G), Fedoseyev Y. (A),
06:46, 1 - 1, Mokin N. (G), Skorikov D. (A), Kudryashov I. (A2)
09:53, 2 - 1, Yemets I. (G), Golodnyuk S. (A), Yakovlev Y. (A2)
10:11, 2 - 2, Aglamzyanov R. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
18:38, 2 - 3, Yekimov N. (G),

Preview

Norilsk is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chelmet has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Norilsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Norilsk has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 2.2:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Norilsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 2.5:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	HC Norilsk	15	8	1	2	4	35:33	20
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	11	2	1	2	6	20:44	8

Last Results with these Odds

Chelmet - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.04%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Norilsk
VHL
01.02.26	Norilsk - Gornyak-UGMK	0:1 penalties ✺
28.01.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Norilsk	2:0 ✺
26.01.26	Molot Perm - Norilsk	6:3 ✺
24.01.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Norilsk	5:2 ✺
22.01.26	Izhstal - Norilsk	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLLW
- HC Chelmet
VHL
31.01.26	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Chelmet	3:1 ✺
29.01.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Chelmet	3:2 ✺
27.01.26	Dynamo-Altay - Chelmet	2:3 OT ✺
22.01.26	Chelmet - Tambov	5:2 ✺
20.01.26	Chelmet - Rostov	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
16.10.25	Chelmet - Norilsk	1:3
16.03.25	Chelmet - Norilsk	4:1
08.09.24	Norilsk - Chelmet	3:2
14.12.23	Norilsk - Chelmet	2:4
26.10.23	Chelmet - Norilsk	5:2

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