Match Info

VHL

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday

Location: Sports Sarae (Kazan)


	Bars Kazan		Gornyak-UGMK

	1	X	2
	2.67	3.4	2.4
	2.62	3.78	2.35	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.56)	3.56 (3.56)	2.37 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bars Kazan
35.4%

Draw
25.8%

Gornyak-UGMK
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

25.7%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

25.6%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Bars Kazan - Gornyak UGMK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Stolpechenkov A. (G)	35. Tulinov N. (G)
22. Bardin I.	91. Malorosiyanov D.
60. Lisov N.	50. Shchemerov A.
61. Khasanov I.	7. Gordin A.
9. Alshevsky S. (A)	13. Zaytsev O. (C)
17. Gizatullin D.	80. Demidovich V.
Line 2
24. Bogatov N. (A)	85. Zhuravlyov Y.
53. Makhmutov A.	72. Trofimov Y.
55. Sherstnyov D.	96. Miller N.
96. Nazmutdinov A.	14. Makhrin M. (A)
93. Barsukov I.	44. Lukhovskoy N.
Line 3
71. Samigullin R.	95. Dumchenko N.
84. Safin A.	4. Bolshakov M.
32. Vasilkov A.	29. Khremkin K.
28. Golubev D. (C)	79. Tarasov M.
64. Gazizov R.	32. Borisov S.
Line 4
16. Toporkov V.	22. Molodtsov D.
5. Mubaraksins A.	83. Karpovich D.
23. Zinovyev D.	56. Ovchinnikov I. (A)
72. Mekhovov I.	18. Sushchev V.
88. Alshevsky Y.	59. Razdyakonov V.
Substitutes
80. Chibizov A. (G)	93. Romashkin P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
16:41, 1 - 0, Golubev D. (G), Zinovyev D. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
06:18, 2 - 0, Gazizov R. (G), Khasanov I. (A),
09:36, 3 - 0, Samigullin R. (G), Gizatullin D. (A), Khasanov I. (A2)
12:48, 3 - 1, Demidovich V. (G), Gordin A. (A), Zaytsev O. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19:51, 4 - 1, Gizatullin D. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bars won 3.

Bars has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gornyak-UGMK is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bars may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Bars has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Bars won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 38:41. (average 2.2:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Bars won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 2.5:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
21	Bars	12	5	0	1	6	28:41	11

Last Results with these Odds

Bars Kazan - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.76%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Gornyak-UGMK - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.52%, but this team recently wins 12% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Bars Kazan
VHL
09.02.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Bars Kazan	2:1 penalties ✺
07.02.26	Molot Perm - Bars Kazan	3:0 ✺
05.02.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Bars Kazan	4:3 OT ✺
03.02.26	Izhstal - Bars Kazan	2:3 OT ✺
30.01.26	Bars Kazan - Kristall Saratov	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLWW
- Gornyak-UGMK
VHL
07.02.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Dinamo St. Petersburg	1:2 ✺
05.02.26	Gornyak-UGMK - SKA-VMF	1:3 ✺
01.02.26	Norilsk - Gornyak-UGMK	0:1 penalties ✺
29.01.26	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Gornyak-UGMK	1:0 ✺
27.01.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Gornyak-UGMK	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
01.10.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Bars Kazan	0:1
15.12.24	Bars Kazan - Gornyak-UGMK	4:3 penalties
05.12.24	Gornyak-UGMK - Bars Kazan	5:0
28.11.23	Bars Kazan - Gornyak-UGMK	5:3
14.11.23	Gornyak-UGMK - Bars Kazan	4:3
06.01.23	Bars Kazan - Gornyak-UGMK	0:3
16.10.22	Gornyak-UGMK - Bars Kazan	1:2

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