Match Info

VHL

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Sports Sarae (Kazan)


	Bars Kazan		Kristall Saratov

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.82	3.98
	1.75	4.15	3.95	Watch
	1.6	4	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.79)	3.99 ↓ (4.08)	4.06 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bars Kazan
54.4%

Draw
23%

Kristall Saratov
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

22.6%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

24.3%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bars Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Kristall Saratov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bars Kazan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kristall Saratov than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kristall Saratov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bars Kazan - Kristall Saratov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Stolpechenkov A. (G)	1. Grischenko A. (G)
24. Bogatov N. (A)	83. Boldyrev D.
22. Bardin I.	24. Koryagin V.
61. Khasanov I. (A)	69. Filin F.
96. Nazmutdinov A.	71. Polshakov Z.
17. Gizatullin D.	90. Basin D.
Line 2
71. Samigullin R.	8. Egorov E.
60. Lisov N.	32. Semeneko M. (C)
10. Galeyev I.	89. Larichev I.
98. Saberzyanov M.	29. Krasnov I.
93. Barsukov I.	21. Chervontsev N.
Line 3
53. Makhmutov A.	19. Gusev A.
84. Safin A.	92. Vyalov F.
64. Gazizov R.	78. Chufarov A.
28. Golubev D. (C)	79. Samsonov D.
90. Gabdrakhmanov E.	96. Konkin D.
Line 4
5. Mubaraksins A.	17. Sidorov Y.
16. Toporkov V.	5. Velmatov A.
88. Alshevsky Y.	9. Balabolkin I.
23. Zinovyev D.	7. Samoilov Y.
32. Vasilkov A.	51. Asylayev N.
Substitutes
80. Chibizov A. (G)	30. Yeryomenko M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
00:24, 1 - 0, Gizatullin D. (G), Khasanov I. (A), Nazmutdinov A. (A2)
03:19, 2 - 0, Galeyev I. (G), Saberzyanov M. (A), Barsukov I. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
07:43, 3 - 0, Barsukov I. (G), Galeyev I. (A), Khasanov I. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
03:37, 3 - 1, Basin D. (G), Filin F. (A), Boldyrev D. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bars won 5.

Bars has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kristall Saratov's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bars may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Bars has had a series of home games.

In this match, Bars is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Bars will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Bars won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 2.8:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Bars won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
11	Kristall Saratov	11	5	2	1	3	30:34	15
21	Bars	12	5	0	1	6	28:41	11

Last Results with these Odds

Kristall Saratov - the odds 3.55 are the expected chance of winning is 25.91%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Bars Kazan
VHL
28.01.26	Bars Kazan - Dizel Penza	1:2 OT ✺
26.01.26	Bars Kazan - Ryazan	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Bars Kazan - AKM	3:1 ✺
20.01.26	Bars Kazan - Chelny	5:1 ✺
18.01.26	Bars Kazan - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWWL
- Kristall Saratov
VHL
24.01.26	Kristall Saratov - Dinamo St. Petersburg	3:6 ✺
22.01.26	Kristall Saratov - SKA-VMF	1:4 ✺
18.01.26	Norilsk - Kristall Saratov	2:3 ✺
15.01.26	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Kristall Saratov	5:2 ✺
13.01.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Kristall Saratov	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
17.10.25	Kristall Saratov - Bars Kazan	1:2
13.03.25	Kristall Saratov - Bars Kazan	2:3
08.09.24	Bars Kazan - Kristall Saratov	3:2
06.02.24	Kristall Saratov - Bars Kazan	0:5
14.09.23	Bars Kazan - Kristall Saratov	3:1
10.10.16	Kristall Saratov - Bars Kazan	5:2
31.01.16	Bars Kazan - Kristall Saratov	1:2

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