Match Info

VHL

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday

Location: Sports Sarae (Kazan)


	Bars Kazan		Ryazan

	1	X	2
	2.79	3.89	2.12
	2.68	3.74	2.33	Watch
	2.6	3.6	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.25)	3.74 ↓ (3.83)	2.23 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bars Kazan
34.2%

Draw
24.6%

Ryazan
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

23.8%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

24.3%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bars Kazan's form might have worsened.

Ryazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ryazan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bars Kazan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryazan than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ryazan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bars Kazan - Ryazan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Stolpechenkov A. (G)	30. Korzin Y. (G)
24. Bogatov N. (A)	51. Kramarenko Y.
53. Makhmutov A.	8. Paramonov A.
61. Khasanov I. (A)	11. Rakhimullin D.
98. Saberzyanov M.	38. Shipov I.
93. Barsukov I.	13. Korostelyov M.
Line 2
22. Bardin I.	88. Faizullin A.
60. Lisov N.	17. Trishin A.
10. Galeyev I.	23. Alexeyev Y.
96. Nazmutdinov A.	87. Mingaleyev D.
17. Gizatullin D.	27. Kazakov M.
Line 3
71. Samigullin R.	90. Salov Y.
75. Ivanov A.	4. Shalapov Y.
64. Gazizov R.	68. Mikheyev Y.
28. Golubev D. (C)	25. Meshcheryakov M.
90. Gabdrakhmanov E.	7. Gimatov E.
Line 4
16. Toporkov V.	5. Dedov G.
84. Safin A.	73. Leshchenko V.
88. Alshevsky Y.	44. Omelyusik D.
23. Zinovyev D.	43. Yakovlev D.
32. Vasilkov A.
Substitutes
80. Chibizov A. (G)	1. Dolgov S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
16:40, 1 - 0, Golubev D. (G), Gizatullin D. (A), Vasilkov A. (A2)
18:41, 2 - 0, Zinovyev D. (G), Golubev D. (A), Vasilkov A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
05:49, 2 - 1, Meshcheryakov M. (G), Gimatov E. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bars won 1.

Recent performances by Bars have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ryazan is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ryazan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bars won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 53:44. (average 2.7:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bars won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 3:2.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
21	Bars	12	5	0	1	6	28:41	11
23	Ryazan	13	1	2	4	6	18:29	10

Last Results with these Odds

Bars Kazan - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.42%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Ryazan - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 35.8%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Bars Kazan
VHL
24.01.26	Bars Kazan - AKM	3:1 ✺
20.01.26	Bars Kazan - Chelny	5:1 ✺
18.01.26	Bars Kazan - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:3 penalties ✺
07.01.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Bars Kazan	4:1 ✺
05.01.26	SKA-VMF - Bars Kazan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLLW
- HC Ryazan
VHL
20.01.26	Ryazan - Dinamo St. Petersburg	4:3 ✺
18.01.26	Ryazan - SKA-VMF	4:0 ✺
14.01.26	Norilsk - Ryazan	3:4 OT ✺
11.01.26	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Ryazan	2:3 ✺
09.01.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Ryazan	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
21.10.25	Ryazan - Bars Kazan	4:3 penalties
30.01.25	Ryazan - Bars Kazan	1:0
21.10.24	Bars Kazan - Ryazan	1:3
09.12.23	Ryazan - Bars Kazan	1:2 OT
01.11.23	Bars Kazan - Ryazan	1:3
21.12.22	Ryazan - Bars Kazan	2:3
25.10.22	Bars Kazan - Ryazan	2:5

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