Match Info

VHL

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Dvorets Sporta Arktika (Norilsk) 🌤️ ...


	Norilsk		Kristall Saratov

	1	X	2
	1.93	4.05	3.33	Watch
	1.86	3.85	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.4)	3.95 ↑ (3.91)	3.24 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Norilsk
48.4%

Draw
23.2%

Kristall Saratov
28.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.1%

23.4%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

24.3%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norilsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Norilsk's performance.

Kristall Saratov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kristall Saratov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Norilsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kristall Saratov than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kristall Saratov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Norilsk - Kristall Saratov Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Norilsk will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
45. Nikitin V. (G)	30. Yeryomenko M. (G)
64. Minayev Y.	83. Boldyrev D.
28. Makeyev N.	24. Koryagin V.
89. Gorbunov D. (A)	96. Konkin D.
69. Skorikov D.	71. Polshakov Z.
71. Golodnyuk S.	90. Basin D.
Line 2
44. Kovalev I.	8. Egorov E.
18. Alexeyev D.	32. Semeneko M. (C)
11. Shevchenko V. (A)	89. Larichev I.
56. Mokin N. (C)	7. Samoilov Y.
93. Korenev I.	21. Chervontsev N.
Line 3
21. Kolomiytsev I.	19. Gusev A.
79. Chebykin Y.	3. Zhilyakov B.
10. Lipanov A.	9. Balabolkin I.
92. Yakovlev Y.	79. Samsonov D.
63. Yemets I.	91. Podorozhnikov A.
Line 4
86. Melnichenko K.	51. Asylayev N.
19. Aksenov A.	61. Kulagin A.
91. Lazarev A.	23. Kormilov D.
51. Popov O.	17. Sidorov Y.
Substitutes
37. Botov M. (G)	40. Kashlinov A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
06:54, 0 - 1, Larichev I. (G), Basin D. (A), Boldyrev D. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
03:21, 1 - 1, Gorbunov D. (G), Chebykin Y. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
08:36, 1 - 2, Balabolkin I. (G),
15:53, 1 - 3, Chervontsev N. (G), Samoilov Y. (A),
19:59, 2 - 3, Korenev I. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 4.

Recent performances by Norilsk have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kristall Saratov's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Norilsk might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Norilsk will win today's game, with odds of 1.89.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:16. (average 3.6:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Norilsk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:10. (average 3.8:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	HC Norilsk	19	10	2	2	5	44:39	26
12	Kristall Saratov	17	9	2	1	5	45:51	23

Last Results with these Odds

Norilsk - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.11%, but this team recently wins 19% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Norilsk
VHL
16.01.26	Norilsk - Dizel Penza	0:3 ✺
14.01.26	Norilsk - Ryazan	3:4 OT ✺
12.01.26	Norilsk - AKM	6:2 ✺
29.12.25	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Norilsk	2:3 penalties ✺
23.12.25	Bars Kazan - Norilsk	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LLWWW
- Kristall Saratov
VHL
15.01.26	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Kristall Saratov	5:2 ✺
13.01.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Kristall Saratov	5:1 ✺
11.01.26	Dynamo-Altay - Kristall Saratov	3:1 ✺
28.12.25	Kristall Saratov - Dizel Penza	5:0 ✺
22.12.25	Kristall Saratov - Buran Voronezh	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
05.11.25	Kristall Saratov - Norilsk	1:2
08.03.25	Norilsk - Kristall Saratov	3:2
15.09.24	Kristall Saratov - Norilsk	4:3
28.11.23	Kristall Saratov - Norilsk	1:5
11.11.23	Norilsk - Kristall Saratov	5:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
11.08.23	Norilsk - Kristall Saratov	3:1
10.08.23	Norilsk - Kristall Saratov	4:5

Upcoming Matches