Match Info

VHL

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Sports Sarae (Kazan)


	Bars Kazan		Dizel Penza

	1	X	2
	2.67	3.58	2.31
	2.67	3.82	2.3	Watch
	2.45	3.75	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.45)	3.72 ↓ (3.79)	2.3 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bars Kazan
35.4%

Draw
24.7%

Dizel Penza
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

24.2%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

26.5%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Dizel Penza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bars Kazan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Bars Kazan - Dizel Penza Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Stolpechenkov A. (G)	27. Arzamastsev A. (G)
24. Bogatov N.	68. Rudakov G.
53. Makhmutov A.	75. Pogorishny O.
61. Khasanov I.	91. Andriyanov A.
98. Saberzyanov M.	95. Pochivalov D.
93. Barsukov I.	34. Larichev V.
Line 2
71. Samigullin R.	7. Spitsenko K.
60. Lisov N.	6. Lukichyov A.
10. Galeyev I.	23. Sidlyarov D.
96. Nazmutdinov A.	47. Bobylyov V.
17. Kalimullin A.	10. Popov D.
Line 3
16. Toporkov V.	83. Sukhov S.
84. Safin A.	98. Lyulko V.
64. Gazizov R.	87. Karapetyan D.
28. Golubev D.	11. Makhanovsky P.
90. Gabdrakhmanov E.	71. Kolmykov M.
Line 4
5. Mubaraksins A.	72. Shvangiradze D.
88. Alshevsky Y.	78. Balashov M.
23. Zinovyev D.	69. Boluchevsky A.
32. Vasilkov A.	73. Latypov G.
Substitutes
14. Ageev E.	31. Kudashev D. (G)
80. Chibizov A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
07:26, 1 - 0, Golubev D. (G), Samigullin R. (A), Vasilkov A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
02:31, 1 - 1, Karapetyan D. (G), Lyulko V. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 1)
02:54, 1 - 2, Makhanovsky P. (G), Bobylyov V. (A), Sukhov S. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bars won 4.

Bars has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dizel is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bars may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Bars has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bars won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 54:43. (average 2.7:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bars won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:22. (average 3:2.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
16	Dizel	11	3	2	2	4	24:24	12
21	Bars	12	5	0	1	6	28:41	11

Last Results with these Odds

Bars Kazan - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.45%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Bars Kazan
VHL
26.01.26	Bars Kazan - Ryazan	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Bars Kazan - AKM	3:1 ✺
20.01.26	Bars Kazan - Chelny	5:1 ✺
18.01.26	Bars Kazan - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:3 penalties ✺
07.01.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Bars Kazan	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWLL
- Dizel Penza
VHL
22.01.26	Dizel Penza - Dinamo St. Petersburg	3:2 ✺
20.01.26	Dizel Penza - SKA-VMF	4:0 ✺
16.01.26	Norilsk - Dizel Penza	0:3 ✺
13.01.26	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Dizel Penza	1:4 ✺
11.01.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Dizel Penza	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
19.10.25	Dizel Penza - Bars Kazan	1:2 penalties
17.03.25	Dizel Penza - Bars Kazan	0:4
06.09.24	Bars Kazan - Dizel Penza	1:5
18.02.24	Bars Kazan - Dizel Penza	3:2
02.09.23	Dizel Penza - Bars Kazan	1:3
23.12.22	Dizel Penza - Bars Kazan	3:1
29.10.22	Bars Kazan - Dizel Penza	3:2 OT

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