Match Info

VHL

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Dvorets Sporta Arktika (Norilsk) 🌤️ ...


	Norilsk		Ryazan

	1	X	2
	2.76	3.92	2.23	Watch
	2.6	3.85	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (3.01)	3.89 ↑ (3.63)	2.19 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norilsk
34.3%

Draw
23.7%

Ryazan
42%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.2%

25%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

25.8%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norilsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Ryazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Norilsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryazan than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Norilsk - Ryazan Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Norilsk will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 2.

Norilsk is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ryazan has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ryazan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Norilsk has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 3:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Norilsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 3:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	HC Norilsk	19	10	2	2	5	44:39	26
15	Ryazan	20	4	4	4	8	43:49	20

Last Results with these Odds

Norilsk - the odds 3.01 are the expected chance of winning is 30.16%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Ryazan - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 44.83%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Norilsk
VHL
12.01.26	Norilsk - AKM	6:2 ✺
29.12.25	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Norilsk	2:3 penalties ✺
23.12.25	Bars Kazan - Norilsk	1:4 ✺
21.12.25	CSK VVS Samara - Norilsk	3:4 OT ✺
19.12.25	Chelny - Norilsk	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.7 WWWWL
- HC Ryazan
VHL
11.01.26	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Ryazan	2:3 ✺
09.01.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Ryazan	4:2 ✺
07.01.26	Dynamo-Altay - Ryazan	1:3 ✺
26.12.25	Ryazan - Buran Voronezh	2:1 ✺
24.12.25	Ryazan - Rostov	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
09.11.25	Ryazan - Norilsk	3:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
14.08.25	Ryazan - Norilsk	2:3 OT
VHL
25.01.25	Norilsk - Ryazan	2:3
27.10.24	Ryazan - Norilsk	4:3 penalties
27.12.23	Ryazan - Norilsk	4:5
15.10.23	Norilsk - Ryazan	4:2

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