Match Info

Championship

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Khiuaz Dospanova (Atyrau)


	Beibarys Atyrau		Gornyak Rudny

	1	X	2
	2.25	4.05	2.4
	2.36	4.02	2.42	Watch
	2.2	4	2.4
	2.26	4.15	2.36
	2.3	4	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.26)	4.04 ↓ (4.22)	2.39 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beibarys Atyrau
39.8%

Draw
22.4%

Gornyak Rudny
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

21.8%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

22.8%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beibarys Atyrau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Gornyak Rudny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beibarys Atyrau than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak Rudny than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Beibarys Atyrau - Gornyak Rudny Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Baydek A. (G)	81. Nurek V. (G)
98. Aktayev A.	22. Anisimov P.
70. Ananichev Ar.	9. Barabash D.
14. Asuchanov J.	4. Bazko D.
18. Dastan E.	96. Gorozhaninov I.
2. Durglishvili R.	88. Kankin K.
10. Gasnikov E.	7. Katkov A.
19. Kazachenko I.	28. Krotov V.
93. Klochkov A.	5. Kurshuk A.
55. Kolotogin P.	93. Lazarev S.
23. Kovzalov I.	87. Mozzherin M.
79. Levkovets Y.	25. Omelkovets D.
8. Manash D.	19. Parkhomenko D.
47. Miller D.	35. Platonov D.
76. Pinidi D.	24. Ryazanov D.
17. Shingareyev T.	97. Savvin R.
9. Shishov A.	11. Shimin Y.
68. Shlychkov V.	52. Stepanov Y.
71. Vasin V.	8. Utebayev R.
99. Yerbatyrov Y.	17. Yulbarisov O.
	66. Zhumagaliyev T.
Substitutes
50. Mikushin A. (G)	40. Tikhonov V. (G)
31. Osipov N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
07:25, 1 - 0, Vasin V. (G), Shingareyev T. (A), Shishov A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
00:59, 1 - 1, Gorozhaninov I. (G), Stepanov Y. (A), Yulbarisov O. (A2)
19:11, 1 - 2, Stepanov Y. (G), Katkov A. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 3)
02:55, 1 - 3, Utebayev R. (G), Stepanov Y. (A),
04:33, 1 - 4, Utebayev R. (G), Platonov D. (A), Stepanov Y. (A2)
11:29, 2 - 4, Kovzalov I. (G), Pinidi D. (A), Kazachenko I. (A2)
18:37, 2 - 5, Yulbarisov O. (G), Krotov V. (A),

Preview

Beibarys is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Gornyak Rudny is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beibarys won 3.

Beibarys is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gornyak Rudny is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Gornyak Rudny has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Gornyak Rudny will win today's game, with odds of 2.41.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Beibarys won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 63:65. (average 3.2:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Beibarys won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 42:38. (average 3.8:3.5).

Outrights of Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship for now

Gornyak Rudny: 3.14% Beibarys Atyrau: 0.79%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Gornyak Rudny	16	9	2	1	4	66:39	23
8	Beibarys Atyrau	16	3	0	2	11	36:55	8

Last Results with these Odds

Gornyak Rudny - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.43%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beibarys Atyrau
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
06.02.26	Beibarys Atyrau - Gornyak Rudny	1:4 ✺
03.02.26	Beibarys Atyrau - Kulager Petropavlovsk	0:2 ✺
02.02.26	Beibarys Atyrau - Kulager Petropavlovsk	3:4 OT ✺
30.01.26	Arlan Kokshetau - Beibarys Atyrau	4:3 OT ✺
29.01.26	Arlan Kokshetau - Beibarys Atyrau	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Gornyak Rudny
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
06.02.26	Beibarys Atyrau - Gornyak Rudny	1:4 ✺
03.02.26	Gornyak Rudny - Nomad	3:0 ✺
02.02.26	Gornyak Rudny - Nomad	4:7 ✺
29.01.26	Gornyak Rudny - Kulager Petropavlovsk	3:2 ✺
28.01.26	Gornyak Rudny - Kulager Petropavlovsk	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
06.02.26	Beibarys Atyrau - Gornyak Rudny	1:4
06.12.25	Beibarys Atyrau - Gornyak Rudny	6:1
05.12.25	Beibarys Atyrau - Gornyak Rudny	6:2
21.09.25	Gornyak Rudny - Beibarys Atyrau	3:2
20.09.25	Gornyak Rudny - Beibarys Atyrau	2:3
Kazakh Ice Hockey Cup
25.08.25	Gornyak Rudny - Beibarys Atyrau	4:1
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
11.12.24	Beibarys Atyrau - Gornyak Rudny	4:5 OT

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