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Current Win Probability
Gornyak Rudny 20.4%
Draw 18.5%
Nomad 61.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26%
18.6%
55.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.5%
18.2%
54.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gornyak Rudny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gornyak Rudny's form might have worsened.
Nomad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nomad's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gornyak Rudny than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gornyak Rudny, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nomad than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nomad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gornyak Rudny - Nomad Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
81. Nurek V. (G)
20. Dubinskas Y. (G)
22. Anisimov P.
57. Beisembayev A.
9. Barabash D.
5. Boiko O.
4. Bazko D.
8. Butenko D.
96. Gorozhaninov I.
77. Daniyar Say. (C)
27. Gurin V.
91. Dikhanbek M.
88. Kankin K.
58. Gaitamirov T.
7. Katkov A. (A)
15. Gatiyatov A.
28. Krotov V.
9. Guseinov D.
5. Kurshuk A. (A)
89. Kenesbay K.
93. Lazarev S.
51. Kitarov T.
87. Mozzherin M.
34. Kolesnikov V. (A)
19. Parkhomenko D.
86. Makarov A.
35. Platonov D.
17. Makeyev D.
10. Rakhimov S.
68. Mangisbayev A.
24. Ryazanov D.
69. Merzlikin N.
11. Shimin Y.
84. Migunov A.
52. Stepanov Y.
18. Reshetko G.
8. Utebayev R.
66. Shulga N.
17. Yulbarisov O. (C)
74. Suleimenov A.
66. Zhumagaliyev T.
47. Tusupbekov R.
Substitutes
40. Tikhonov V. (G)
30. Kalmykov R. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
04:30, 1 - 0, Yulbarisov O. (G), Gorozhaninov I. (A),
16:25, 2 - 0, Gurin V. (G), Lazarev S. (A), Stepanov Y. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
16:54, 3 - 0, Yulbarisov O. (G),
Preview
Gornyak Rudny is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Nomad is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak Rudny won 1.
Gornyak Rudny is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Nomad has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Gornyak Rudny may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Gornyak Rudny has had a series of home games.
In this match, Nomad is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gornyak Rudny won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 62:76. (average 3.1:3.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Gornyak Rudny won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:36. (average 3.3:4).
Outrights of Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship for now
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Nurek V. (G) 
Anisimov P. 
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