The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gornyak Rudny 24.7%
Draw 20.8%
Nomad 54.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
25.8%
20.3%
53.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.2%
22.1%
49.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gornyak Rudny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Nomad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gornyak Rudny than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nomad than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Gornyak Rudny - Nomad Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Meider T. (G)
21. Dudarkiyev J. (G)
27. Gurin V.
57. Beisembayev A.
88. Kankin K.
5. Boiko O. (C)
7. Katkov A. (A)
78. Dvurechensky K.
28. Krotov V.
89. Kenesbay K.
5. Kurshuk A. (A)
51. Kitarov T.
93. Lazarev S.
31. Korolyov A. (A)
82. Lyapunov N.
85. Makarov A.
15. Manazhanov T.
68. Mangisbayev A. (A)
87. Mozzherin M.
22. Medvedev D.
19. Parkhomenko D.
69. Merzlikin N.
35. Platonov D.
84. Migunov A.
14. Rakhimov S.
77. Ruslanuly A.
42. Ryazanov D.
66. Shulga N.
97. Shimin Y.
24. Simakhin A.
10. Shingareyev T.
86. Simonov T.
41. Stulov D.
74. Suleimenov A.
71. Tserulnikov A.
17. Tsybin D.
8. Utebayev R.
9. Tusupbekov R.
17. Yulbarisov O. (C)
55. Umerenkov M.
66. Zhumagaliyev T.
39. Uteyev D.
Substitutes
81. Nikitin V. (G)
35. Shestakov A. (G)
40. Shinkovsky A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
09:23, 1 - 0, Kurshuk A. (G), Gurin V. (A), Yulbarisov O. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
17:47, 2 - 0, Gurin V. (G), Yulbarisov O. (A),
3rd Period (4 - 0)
02:45, 3 - 0, Stulov D. (G), Gurin V. (A),
15:43, 4 - 0, Shingareyev T. (G), Yulbarisov O. (A),
17:04, 5 - 0, Gurin V. (G),
19:44, 6 - 0, Gurin V. (G), Stulov D. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak Rudny won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Gornyak Rudny (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Nomad is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Gornyak Rudny may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Both teams have recently been through a demanding run of away matches.
Nomad carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Nomad in today's match, at odds of 1.68.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Gornyak Rudny has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 66:75 (averaging 3.3:3.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gornyak Rudny against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 32:35 goals (averaging 3.6:3.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
2
Nomad Astana
25
17
3
2
3
102:61
42
6
Gornyak Rudny
25
11
3
1
10
90:64
29
Last Results with these Odds
Nomad - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 53.87%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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Meider T. (G) 
Krotov V. 
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