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Current Win Probability
Belleville Senators 29.4%
Draw 21.1%
Laval Rocket 49.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.6%
22.4%
49%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.2%
21.3%
51.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belleville Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Laval Rocket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belleville Senators than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laval Rocket than the current prediction. (+2%)
Belleville Senators - Laval Rocket Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Sogaard M. (G)
34. Kahkonen K. (G)
5. Bongiovanni W.
22. Belzile A. (A)
13. Bourgault X.
4. Bisson T. P. (A)
4. Crotty C. (A)
42. Condotta L. (C)
10. Daoust P.
27. Dauphin L.
11. Donovan J.
49. Davidson J.
48. Gilbert D.
2. Del Gaizo M.
29. Hamara T.
44. Didier J.
14. Harrington S.
26. Dineen W.
42. Hodgson H.
15. Farrell S.
39. Hookey L.
28. Jacobs J.
24. Jenik J. (A)
48. Mesar F.
43. Kaliyev A.
64. Reinbacher D.
15. Lycksell O.
10. Roy J.
32. Pettersson O.
81. Simoneau X.
22. Pilon G. (C)
6. Thorpe T.
19. Rees J.
84. Trudeau W.
33. Thomson L.
17. Tuch L.
27. Washkurak K.
63. Xhekaj F.
Substitutes
31. Parsons J. (G)
29. Jones H. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
09:07, 1 - 0, Bourgault X. (G), Lycksell O. (A), Kaliyev A. (A2)
12:59, 1 - 1, Belzile A. (G), Roy J. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
04:18, 1 - 2, Belzile A. (G), Dauphin L. (A), Reinbacher D. (A2)
13:21, 2 - 2, Daoust P. (G), Lycksell O. (A), Kaliyev A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
01:53, 2 - 3, Dauphin L. (G), Farrell S. (A), Belzile A. (A2)
10:05, 2 - 4, Davidson J. (G), Trudeau W. (A),
18:42, 3 - 4, Bourgault X. (G), Kaliyev A. (A), Bongiovanni W. (A2)
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belleville won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Laval may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Laval could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Belleville won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 54:62. (average 2.7:3.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Belleville won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:34. (average 3.2:3.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Laval Rocket - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 48.95%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.